Thiago Santos vs. Jamahal Hill - UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Jamahal Hill by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Light Heavyweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Thiago Santos
+225
Jamahal Hill
26
14
0.9
-360

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Thiago Santos Jamahal Hill
Main Stats
Age 38 31
Height 74" 76"
Reach 76" 79"
Win Percentage 68.75% 90.91%
Wins 22 11
Losses 11 1
Wins at Weight Class 4 4
Losses at Weight Class 3 2
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 52.78% 46.26%
Significant Striking Accuracy 47.71% 45.97%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.676 6.353
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.773 6.225
Knockdowns per Fight 0.949 1.925
Striking Impact Differential 11.43% 10.50%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 13.48% 13.50%
Striking Output Differential 21.96% 30.50%
Significant Striking Output Differential 24.74% 34.83%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 66.09% 55.56%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 78.56% 51.55%
Striking Defense Percentage 55.55% 46.95%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.068 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 0.542 0.000
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 1.491 0.000
Takedown Defense 52.63% 120.00%
Takedown Accuracy 36.36% 0.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 1.929 3.337
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 5.196 9.850
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.184 1.636
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.863 2.246
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.324 2.920
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.583 0.866
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.980 0.642
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 1.387 0.770
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.605 1.123
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.642 0.321
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.777 0.417
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.307 0.096
Thiago Santos History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
March 12, 2022 Light Heavyweight Thiago Santos Magomed Ankalaev Magomed Ankalaev
Oct. 2, 2021 Light Heavyweight Thiago Santos Johnny Walker Thiago Santos
March 6, 2021 Light Heavyweight Thiago Santos Aleksandar Rakic Aleksandar Rakic
Nov. 7, 2020 Light Heavyweight Thiago Santos Glover Teixeira Glover Teixeira
July 6, 2019 UFC Light Heavyweight Title Jon Jones Thiago Santos Jon Jones
Feb. 23, 2019 Light Heavyweight Jan Blachowicz Thiago Santos Thiago Santos
Dec. 8, 2018 Light Heavyweight Jimi Manuwa Thiago Santos Thiago Santos
Sept. 22, 2018 Light Heavyweight Thiago Santos Eryk Anders Thiago Santos
Aug. 4, 2018 Middleweight Thiago Santos Kevin Holland Thiago Santos
April 21, 2018 Middleweight David Branch Thiago Santos David Branch
Feb. 3, 2018 Middleweight Thiago Santos Anthony Smith Thiago Santos
Oct. 28, 2017 Middleweight Thiago Santos Jack Hermansson Thiago Santos
July 8, 2017 Middleweight Thiago Santos Gerald Meerschaert Thiago Santos
Feb. 19, 2017 Middleweight Jack Marshman Thiago Santos Thiago Santos
Sept. 24, 2016 Middleweight Thiago Santos Eric Spicely Eric Spicely
July 9, 2016 Middleweight Gegard Mousasi Thiago Santos Gegard Mousasi
May 14, 2016 Middleweight Thiago Santos Nate Marquardt Thiago Santos
Dec. 10, 2015 Middleweight Elias Theodorou Thiago Santos Thiago Santos
June 27, 2015 Middleweight Thiago Santos Steve Bosse Thiago Santos
Jan. 31, 2015 Middleweight Thiago Santos Andy Enz Thiago Santos
July 5, 2014 Middleweight Uriah Hall Thiago Santos Uriah Hall
March 23, 2014 Middleweight Ronny Markes Thiago Santos Thiago Santos
Aug. 3, 2013 Middleweight Cezar Ferreira Thiago Santos Cezar Ferreira
Jamahal Hill History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Feb. 19, 2022 Light Heavyweight Johnny Walker Jamahal Hill Jamahal Hill
Dec. 4, 2021 Light Heavyweight Jimmy Crute Jamahal Hill Jamahal Hill
June 12, 2021 Light Heavyweight Paul Craig Jamahal Hill Paul Craig
Dec. 5, 2020 Light Heavyweight Ovince Saint Preux Jamahal Hill Jamahal Hill
May 30, 2020 Light Heavyweight Jamahal Hill Klidson Abreu None
Jan. 25, 2020 Light Heavyweight Jamahal Hill Darko Stosic Jamahal Hill