The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Thiago Santos | Magomed Ankalaev | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 38 | 29 | 32 | |
| Height | 74" | 75" | 74" | |
| Reach | 76" | 75" | 76" | |
| Win Percentage | 70.97% | 100.00% | 80.30% | |
| Wins | 22 | 17 | ||
| Losses | 10 | -1 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 4 | 7 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 2 | 1 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 52.97% | 64.57% | 55.14% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 48.08% | 55.49% | 49.77% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.859 | 5.753 | 5.163 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.947 | 3.602 | 3.941 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.993 | 1.146 | 0.757 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | 13.45% | 30.00% | 0.05% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | 14.91% | 15.25% | 3.11% | |
| Striking Output Differential | 24.36% | 26.38% | 3.37% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | 26.64% | 10.13% | 6.69% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 63.63% | 61.28% | 81.28% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 74.71% | 94.70% | 99.54% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 56.43% | 62.47% | 49.08% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 0.076 | 0.000 | 0.399 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 0.611 | 1.146 | 1.159 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 1.681 | 3.628 | 2.948 | |
| Takedown Defense | 51.35% | 16.67% | 81.45% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 36.36% | 31.58% | 26.18% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.104 | 2.533 | 2.585 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 5.475 | 5.168 | 6.239 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 1.166 | 0.840 | 2.270 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.891 | 0.827 | 0.824 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.360 | 1.031 | 1.115 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.479 | 0.598 | 0.721 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.953 | 0.242 | 0.532 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 1.375 | 0.293 | 0.645 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.632 | 0.611 | 0.616 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.718 | 0.369 | 0.622 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.871 | 0.496 | 0.802 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.285 | 0.293 | 0.616 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 2, 2021 | Light Heavyweight | Thiago Santos | Johnny Walker | Thiago Santos | |
| March 6, 2021 | Light Heavyweight | Thiago Santos | Aleksandar Rakic | Aleksandar Rakic | |
| Nov. 7, 2020 | Light Heavyweight | Thiago Santos | Glover Teixeira | Glover Teixeira | |
| July 6, 2019 | UFC Light Heavyweight Title | Jon Jones | Thiago Santos | Jon Jones | |
| Feb. 23, 2019 | Light Heavyweight | Jan Blachowicz | Thiago Santos | Thiago Santos | |
| Dec. 8, 2018 | Light Heavyweight | Jimi Manuwa | Thiago Santos | Thiago Santos | |
| Sept. 22, 2018 | Light Heavyweight | Thiago Santos | Eryk Anders | Thiago Santos | |
| Aug. 4, 2018 | Middleweight | Thiago Santos | Kevin Holland | Thiago Santos | |
| April 21, 2018 | Middleweight | David Branch | Thiago Santos | David Branch | |
| Feb. 3, 2018 | Middleweight | Thiago Santos | Anthony Smith | Thiago Santos | |
| Oct. 28, 2017 | Middleweight | Thiago Santos | Jack Hermansson | Thiago Santos | |
| July 8, 2017 | Middleweight | Thiago Santos | Gerald Meerschaert | Thiago Santos | |
| Feb. 19, 2017 | Middleweight | Jack Marshman | Thiago Santos | Thiago Santos | |
| Sept. 24, 2016 | Middleweight | Thiago Santos | Eric Spicely | Eric Spicely | |
| July 9, 2016 | Middleweight | Gegard Mousasi | Thiago Santos | Gegard Mousasi | |
| May 14, 2016 | Middleweight | Thiago Santos | Nate Marquardt | Thiago Santos | |
| Dec. 10, 2015 | Middleweight | Elias Theodorou | Thiago Santos | Thiago Santos | |
| June 27, 2015 | Middleweight | Thiago Santos | Steve Bosse | Thiago Santos | |
| Jan. 31, 2015 | Middleweight | Thiago Santos | Andy Enz | Thiago Santos | |
| July 5, 2014 | Middleweight | Uriah Hall | Thiago Santos | Uriah Hall | |
| March 23, 2014 | Middleweight | Ronny Markes | Thiago Santos | Thiago Santos | |
| Aug. 3, 2013 | Middleweight | Cezar Ferreira | Thiago Santos | Cezar Ferreira |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 30, 2021 | Light Heavyweight | Magomed Ankalaev | Volkan Oezdemir | Magomed Ankalaev | |
| Feb. 27, 2021 | Light Heavyweight | Nikita Krylov | Magomed Ankalaev | Magomed Ankalaev | |
| Oct. 24, 2020 | Light Heavyweight | Magomed Ankalaev | Ion Cutelaba | Magomed Ankalaev | |
| Feb. 29, 2020 | Light Heavyweight | Ion Cutelaba | Magomed Ankalaev | Magomed Ankalaev | |
| Nov. 9, 2019 | Light Heavyweight | Magomed Ankalaev | Dalcha Lungiambula | Magomed Ankalaev | |
| Feb. 23, 2019 | Light Heavyweight | Magomed Ankalaev | Klidson Abreu | Magomed Ankalaev | |
| Sept. 15, 2018 | Light Heavyweight | Magomed Ankalaev | Marcin Prachnio | Magomed Ankalaev | |
| March 17, 2018 | Light Heavyweight | Paul Craig | Magomed Ankalaev | Paul Craig |