Thiago Santos vs. Magomed Ankalaev - UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Magomed Ankalaev by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Light Heavyweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Thiago Santos
+400
Magomed Ankalaev
24
13
-9.7
-800

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Thiago Santos Magomed Ankalaev
Main Stats
Age 38 29
Height 74" 75"
Reach 76" 75"
Win Percentage 70.97% 100.00%
Wins 22 17
Losses 10 -1
Wins at Weight Class 4 7
Losses at Weight Class 2 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 52.97% 64.57%
Significant Striking Accuracy 48.08% 55.49%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.859 5.753
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.947 3.602
Knockdowns per Fight 0.993 1.146
Striking Impact Differential 13.45% 30.00%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 14.91% 15.25%
Striking Output Differential 24.36% 26.38%
Significant Striking Output Differential 26.64% 10.13%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 63.63% 61.28%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 74.71% 94.70%
Striking Defense Percentage 56.43% 62.47%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.076 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 0.611 1.146
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 1.681 3.628
Takedown Defense 51.35% 16.67%
Takedown Accuracy 36.36% 31.58%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.104 2.533
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 5.475 5.168
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.166 0.840
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.891 0.827
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.360 1.031
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.479 0.598
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.953 0.242
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 1.375 0.293
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.632 0.611
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.718 0.369
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.871 0.496
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.285 0.293
Thiago Santos History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Oct. 2, 2021 Light Heavyweight Thiago Santos Johnny Walker Thiago Santos
March 6, 2021 Light Heavyweight Thiago Santos Aleksandar Rakic Aleksandar Rakic
Nov. 7, 2020 Light Heavyweight Thiago Santos Glover Teixeira Glover Teixeira
July 6, 2019 UFC Light Heavyweight Title Jon Jones Thiago Santos Jon Jones
Feb. 23, 2019 Light Heavyweight Jan Blachowicz Thiago Santos Thiago Santos
Dec. 8, 2018 Light Heavyweight Jimi Manuwa Thiago Santos Thiago Santos
Sept. 22, 2018 Light Heavyweight Thiago Santos Eryk Anders Thiago Santos
Aug. 4, 2018 Middleweight Thiago Santos Kevin Holland Thiago Santos
April 21, 2018 Middleweight David Branch Thiago Santos David Branch
Feb. 3, 2018 Middleweight Thiago Santos Anthony Smith Thiago Santos
Oct. 28, 2017 Middleweight Thiago Santos Jack Hermansson Thiago Santos
July 8, 2017 Middleweight Thiago Santos Gerald Meerschaert Thiago Santos
Feb. 19, 2017 Middleweight Jack Marshman Thiago Santos Thiago Santos
Sept. 24, 2016 Middleweight Thiago Santos Eric Spicely Eric Spicely
July 9, 2016 Middleweight Gegard Mousasi Thiago Santos Gegard Mousasi
May 14, 2016 Middleweight Thiago Santos Nate Marquardt Thiago Santos
Dec. 10, 2015 Middleweight Elias Theodorou Thiago Santos Thiago Santos
June 27, 2015 Middleweight Thiago Santos Steve Bosse Thiago Santos
Jan. 31, 2015 Middleweight Thiago Santos Andy Enz Thiago Santos
July 5, 2014 Middleweight Uriah Hall Thiago Santos Uriah Hall
March 23, 2014 Middleweight Ronny Markes Thiago Santos Thiago Santos
Aug. 3, 2013 Middleweight Cezar Ferreira Thiago Santos Cezar Ferreira
Magomed Ankalaev History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Oct. 30, 2021 Light Heavyweight Magomed Ankalaev Volkan Oezdemir Magomed Ankalaev
Feb. 27, 2021 Light Heavyweight Nikita Krylov Magomed Ankalaev Magomed Ankalaev
Oct. 24, 2020 Light Heavyweight Magomed Ankalaev Ion Cutelaba Magomed Ankalaev
Feb. 29, 2020 Light Heavyweight Ion Cutelaba Magomed Ankalaev Magomed Ankalaev
Nov. 9, 2019 Light Heavyweight Magomed Ankalaev Dalcha Lungiambula Magomed Ankalaev
Feb. 23, 2019 Light Heavyweight Magomed Ankalaev Klidson Abreu Magomed Ankalaev
Sept. 15, 2018 Light Heavyweight Magomed Ankalaev Marcin Prachnio Magomed Ankalaev
March 17, 2018 Light Heavyweight Paul Craig Magomed Ankalaev Paul Craig