Marlon Moraes vs. Song Yadong - UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Song Yadong by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Bantamweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Marlon Moraes
+220
Song Yadong
23
15
3.6
-310

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Marlon Moraes Song Yadong
Main Stats
Age 33 24
Height 66" 68"
Reach 67" 67"
Win Percentage 71.88% 75.00%
Wins 23 19
Losses 10 6
Wins at Weight Class 5 5
Losses at Weight Class 4 2
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 41.99% 47.31%
Significant Striking Accuracy 40.78% 42.49%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.522 6.119
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.343 4.883
Knockdowns per Fight 0.892 0.613
Striking Impact Differential -27.90% 11.56%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -9.50% 12.11%
Striking Output Differential -33.40% 23.67%
Significant Striking Output Differential -12.70% 23.11%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 156.76% 93.16%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 156.58% 114.64%
Striking Defense Percentage 53.92% 59.76%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.357 0.306
Takedowns per Fight 0.892 0.460
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 2.142 1.073
Takedown Defense 116.67% 64.71%
Takedown Accuracy 41.67% 42.86%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.142 3.197
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 6.437 9.193
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 3.153 2.298
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.547 1.001
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.833 1.471
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.797 0.899
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.654 0.684
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.928 0.827
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.524 0.572
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.048 0.347
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.071 0.501
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.286 0.296
Marlon Moraes History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Sept. 25, 2021 Bantamweight Marlon Moraes Merab Dvalishvili Merab Dvalishvili
Dec. 19, 2020 Bantamweight Marlon Moraes Rob Font Rob Font
Oct. 10, 2020 Bantamweight Marlon Moraes Cory Sandhagen Cory Sandhagen
Dec. 14, 2019 Bantamweight Marlon Moraes Jose Aldo Marlon Moraes
June 8, 2019 UFC Bantamweight Title Henry Cejudo Marlon Moraes Henry Cejudo
Feb. 2, 2019 Bantamweight Raphael Assuncao Marlon Moraes Marlon Moraes
June 1, 2018 Bantamweight Jimmie Rivera Marlon Moraes Marlon Moraes
Dec. 9, 2017 Bantamweight Marlon Moraes Aljamain Sterling Marlon Moraes
Nov. 11, 2017 Bantamweight John Dodson Marlon Moraes Marlon Moraes
June 3, 2017 Bantamweight Raphael Assuncao Marlon Moraes Raphael Assuncao
Song Yadong History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Nov. 13, 2021 Bantamweight Song Yadong Julio Arce Song Yadong
Aug. 7, 2021 Bantamweight Song Yadong Casey Kenney Song Yadong
March 6, 2021 Bantamweight Song Yadong Kyler Phillips Kyler Phillips
May 16, 2020 Featherweight Song Yadong Marlon Vera Song Yadong
Dec. 7, 2019 Bantamweight Cody Stamann Song Yadong None
July 6, 2019 Bantamweight Alejandro Perez Song Yadong Song Yadong
Nov. 24, 2018 Bantamweight Song Yadong Vince Morales Song Yadong
June 23, 2018 Bantamweight Felipe Arantes Song Yadong Song Yadong
Nov. 25, 2017 Featherweight Song Yadong Bharat Kandare Song Yadong