Drew Dober vs. Terrance McKinney - UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Drew Dober by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Lightweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Drew Dober
22
16.2
-170
Terrance McKinney
16
+120

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Drew Dober Terrance McKinney
Main Stats
Age 33 27
Height 68" 70"
Reach 70" 73"
Win Percentage 67.65% 80.00%
Wins 24 12
Losses 11 4
Wins at Weight Class 8 2
Losses at Weight Class 7 0
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 46.91% 78.26%
Significant Striking Accuracy 40.80% 77.78%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.770 7.826
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.382 3.044
Knockdowns per Fight 0.513 6.522
Striking Impact Differential -0.65% 8.50%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 2.59% 3.00%
Striking Output Differential 15.06% 11.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential 18.18% 4.00%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 81.52% 0.00%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 103.74% 0.00%
Striking Defense Percentage 52.69% 0.00%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.103 6.522
Takedowns per Fight 0.820 0.000
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 4.512 0.000
Takedown Defense 81.48% 100.00%
Takedown Accuracy 18.18% 0.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.912 2.609
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 8.730 3.044
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.830 0.000
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.882 0.435
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.278 0.870
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.916 0.000
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.588 0.000
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.732 0.000
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.335 0.435
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.649 0.000
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.991 0.000
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.499 0.000
Drew Dober History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
June 12, 2021 Lightweight Drew Dober Brad Riddell Brad Riddell
March 6, 2021 Lightweight Islam Makhachev Drew Dober Islam Makhachev
May 13, 2020 Lightweight Alexander Hernandez Drew Dober Drew Dober
Jan. 18, 2020 Lightweight Drew Dober Nasrat Haqparast Drew Dober
June 29, 2019 Lightweight Drew Dober Marco Polo Reyes Drew Dober
March 9, 2019 Lightweight Beneil Dariush Drew Dober Beneil Dariush
Aug. 25, 2018 Lightweight Drew Dober Jon Tuck Drew Dober
Jan. 27, 2018 Welterweight Drew Dober Frank Camacho Drew Dober
July 29, 2017 Lightweight Joshua Burkman Drew Dober Drew Dober
Dec. 10, 2016 Lightweight Olivier Aubin-Mercier Drew Dober Olivier Aubin-Mercier
Sept. 10, 2016 Lightweight Drew Dober Jason Gonzalez Drew Dober
Jan. 2, 2016 Lightweight Scott Holtzman Drew Dober Drew Dober
June 13, 2015 Lightweight Efrain Escudero Drew Dober Efrain Escudero
March 21, 2015 Lightweight Leandro Silva Drew Dober None
Dec. 13, 2014 Lightweight Jamie Varner Drew Dober Drew Dober
May 31, 2014 Lightweight Nick Hein Drew Dober Nick Hein
Nov. 30, 2013 Welterweight Sean Spencer Drew Dober Sean Spencer
Terrance McKinney History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Feb. 26, 2022 Lightweight Terrance McKinney Fares Ziam Terrance McKinney
June 12, 2021 Lightweight Matt Frevola Terrance McKinney Terrance McKinney