Tanner Boser vs. Rodrigo Nascimento - UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Rodrigo Nascimento by Decision - Split

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Heavyweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Tanner Boser
9
18
4.9
-180
Rodrigo Nascimento
+140

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Tanner Boser Rodrigo Nascimento
Main Stats
Age 31 29
Height 74" 74"
Reach 75" 80"
Win Percentage 71.43% 88.89%
Wins 20 9
Losses 9 1
Wins at Weight Class 4 1
Losses at Weight Class 3 2
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 54.04% 62.99%
Significant Striking Accuracy 51.97% 58.99%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.730 6.775
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.229 5.728
Knockdowns per Fight 0.386 0.000
Striking Impact Differential 22.14% -10.33%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 23.00% -6.00%
Striking Output Differential 21.86% -12.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential 24.43% -7.00%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 85.60% 63.92%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 89.36% 73.17%
Striking Defense Percentage 63.64% 37.50%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 1.048
Takedowns per Fight 0.000 2.096
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 0.000 5.239
Takedown Defense 42.86% 100.00%
Takedown Accuracy 0.00% 40.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 1.607 3.842
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 5.116 7.753
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.170 4.750
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.848 0.838
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.093 0.908
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.604 1.187
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 1.774 1.048
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 1.928 1.048
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.386 1.048
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.064 0.489
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.141 0.768
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.116 1.746
Tanner Boser History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
June 26, 2021 Heavyweight Tanner Boser Ovince Saint Preux Tanner Boser
June 5, 2021 Heavyweight Tanner Boser Ilir Latifi Ilir Latifi
Nov. 7, 2020 Heavyweight Andrei Arlovski Tanner Boser Andrei Arlovski
July 25, 2020 Heavyweight Tanner Boser Raphael Pessoa Tanner Boser
June 27, 2020 Heavyweight Philipe Lins Tanner Boser Tanner Boser
Dec. 21, 2019 Heavyweight Ciryl Gane Tanner Boser Ciryl Gane
Oct. 18, 2019 Heavyweight Daniel Spitz Tanner Boser Tanner Boser
Rodrigo Nascimento History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
July 17, 2021 Heavyweight Alan Baudot Rodrigo Nascimento None
Oct. 10, 2020 Heavyweight Chris Daukaus Rodrigo Nascimento Chris Daukaus
May 16, 2020 Heavyweight Rodrigo Nascimento Don'Tale Mayes Rodrigo Nascimento