Mariya Agapova vs. Gillian Robertson - UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Gillian Robertson by Submission

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Women's Flyweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Mariya Agapova
27
8
33.7
+120
Gillian Robertson
-155

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Mariya Agapova Gillian Robertson
Main Stats
Age 25 27
Height 66" 65"
Reach 68" 63"
Win Percentage 76.92% 58.82%
Wins 10 11
Losses 4 7
Wins at Weight Class 2 7
Losses at Weight Class 2 5
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 65.10% 59.10%
Significant Striking Accuracy 55.36% 48.58%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 9.174 4.026
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.581 2.393
Knockdowns per Fight 1.047 0.000
Striking Impact Differential 23.50% -11.25%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 8.75% -3.67%
Striking Output Differential 18.50% -14.75%
Significant Striking Output Differential 5.00% -7.00%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 61.22% 78.31%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 90.00% 120.44%
Striking Defense Percentage 53.53% 50.93%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 1.047 0.917
Takedowns per Fight 1.047 2.358
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 1.047 5.763
Takedown Defense 133.33% 250.00%
Takedown Accuracy 100.00% 40.91%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 3.244 1.650
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 7.081 3.799
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.721 2.279
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.849 0.402
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 2.372 0.672
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.977 0.358
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.488 0.341
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.628 0.454
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.663 0.140
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.907 0.114
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.151 0.122
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.523 0.358
Mariya Agapova History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
March 5, 2022 Women's Flyweight Maryna Moroz Mariya Agapova Maryna Moroz
Oct. 9, 2021 Women's Flyweight Sabina Mazo Mariya Agapova Mariya Agapova
Aug. 22, 2020 Women's Flyweight Mariya Agapova Shana Dobson Shana Dobson
June 13, 2020 Women's Flyweight Mariya Agapova Hannah Cifers Mariya Agapova
Gillian Robertson History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
March 12, 2022 Women's Flyweight JJ Aldrich Gillian Robertson JJ Aldrich
Dec. 11, 2021 Women's Flyweight Gillian Robertson Priscila Cachoeira Gillian Robertson
March 27, 2021 Women's Flyweight Gillian Robertson Miranda Maverick Miranda Maverick
Dec. 19, 2020 Women's Flyweight Gillian Robertson Taila Santos Taila Santos
Oct. 17, 2020 Women's Flyweight Gillian Robertson Poliana Botelho Gillian Robertson
June 20, 2020 Women's Flyweight Cortney Casey Gillian Robertson Gillian Robertson
Oct. 18, 2019 Women's Flyweight Maycee Barber Gillian Robertson Maycee Barber
July 27, 2019 Women's Flyweight Gillian Robertson Sarah Frota Gillian Robertson
Feb. 23, 2019 Women's Flyweight Veronica Hardy Gillian Robertson Gillian Robertson
Sept. 22, 2018 Women's Flyweight Mayra Bueno Silva Gillian Robertson Mayra Bueno Silva
May 27, 2018 Women's Flyweight Gillian Robertson Molly McCann Gillian Robertson
Dec. 1, 2017 Women's Flyweight Gillian Robertson Emily Whitmire Gillian Robertson