Anthony Hernandez vs. Marc-Andre Barriault - UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Anthony Hernandez by Submission

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Middleweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Anthony Hernandez
18
19
9.9
-225
Marc-Andre Barriault
+163

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Anthony Hernandez Marc-Andre Barriault
Main Stats
Age 28 32
Height 72" 73"
Reach 75" 74"
Win Percentage 81.82% 73.68%
Wins 10 14
Losses 2 6
Wins at Weight Class 3 2
Losses at Weight Class 2 5
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 64.13% 50.37%
Significant Striking Accuracy 57.99% 46.64%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.162 6.915
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.073 5.786
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 0.342
Striking Impact Differential 12.40% 3.38%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 1.00% 8.13%
Striking Output Differential 12.80% 6.63%
Significant Striking Output Differential -1.80% 11.38%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 55.08% 94.22%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 81.41% 109.27%
Striking Defense Percentage 45.68% 55.62%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 2.350 0.171
Takedowns per Fight 5.483 0.342
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 7.833 1.369
Takedown Defense 50.00% 46.15%
Takedown Accuracy 70.00% 25.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 3.473 4.268
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 6.371 10.396
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 3.107 3.035
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.496 0.810
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.548 1.153
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.705 1.495
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.104 0.708
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.104 0.856
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.131 0.514
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.601 1.415
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.914 1.929
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.809 1.096
Anthony Hernandez History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
April 9, 2022 Middleweight Anthony Hernandez Josh Fremd Anthony Hernandez
Feb. 13, 2021 Middleweight Rodolfo Vieira Anthony Hernandez Anthony Hernandez
May 16, 2020 Middleweight Anthony Hernandez Kevin Holland Kevin Holland
Aug. 31, 2019 Middleweight JunYong Park Anthony Hernandez Anthony Hernandez
Feb. 2, 2019 Middleweight Markus Perez Anthony Hernandez Markus Perez
Marc-Andre Barriault History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
April 23, 2022 Catch Weight Jordan Wright Marc-Andre Barriault Marc-Andre Barriault
Feb. 5, 2022 Middleweight Chidi Njokuani Marc-Andre Barriault Chidi Njokuani
Sept. 4, 2021 Middleweight Dalcha Lungiambula Marc-Andre Barriault Marc-Andre Barriault
March 27, 2021 Middleweight Marc-Andre Barriault Abu Azaitar Marc-Andre Barriault
June 20, 2020 Middleweight Marc-Andre Barriault Oskar Piechota None
Dec. 21, 2019 Middleweight JunYong Park Marc-Andre Barriault JunYong Park
July 27, 2019 Middleweight Marc-Andre Barriault Krzysztof Jotko Krzysztof Jotko
May 4, 2019 Middleweight Marc-Andre Barriault Andrew Sanchez Andrew Sanchez