UFC Event Results

March 2, 2024

UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev

Enterprise, Nevada, United States
778.00m Elevation

Model Performance Summary (% Correct)

WTAI Model

Main: 80.0% Under: 50.0% Full: 71.43%

Profit Model

Main: 60.0% Under: 50.0% Full: 57.14%

Plain Model

Main: 80.0% Under: 50.0% Full: 71.43%

Selected Bets Results

ROI: %

Parlay #1

Claudio Ribeiro

Win

-300

Strength: 18.0 points
EV: 4.2%

Tyson Pedro

Win

-300

Strength: 16.0 points
EV: 1.2%

Total Odds

1.78x

Return on $10 Bet

$7.78

Parlay #2

Javid Basharat

Win

-700

Strength: 19.0 points
EV: -8.3%

Steve Erceg

Win

-325

Strength: 18.0 points
EV: 2.7%

Total Odds

1.49x

Return on $10 Bet

$4.95

Parlay #3

Shamil Gaziev

Win

-165

Strength: 16.0 points
EV: 13.9%

Tyson Pedro

Win

-300

Strength: 16.0 points
EV: 1.2%

Muhammad Mokaev

Win

-310

Strength: 21.0 points
EV: 3.6%

Total Odds

2.83x

Return on $10 Bet

$18.32

Parlay #4

Muhammad Mokaev

Win

-310

Strength: 21.0 points
EV: 3.6%

Jamie Pickett

Win

-450

Strength: 26.0 points
EV: -2.7%

Steve Erceg

Win

-325

Strength: 18.0 points
EV: 2.7%

Total Odds

2.11x

Return on $10 Bet

$11.14

Parlay #5

Claudio Ribeiro

Win

-300

Strength: 18.0 points
EV: 4.2%

Shamil Gaziev

Win

-165

Strength: 16.0 points
EV: 13.9%

Jamie Pickett

Win

-450

Strength: 26.0 points
EV: -2.7%

Total Odds

2.62x

Return on $10 Bet

$16.17

The tables below show how the model predictions performed. Confidence scores indicate the model's certainty.

Correct predictions are shown in normal text, incorrect predictions are highlighted in red.

WTAI = WTAI Model Profit = Profit Model Plain = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
W
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
4
+135
Shamil Gaziev
16
24
13.9
-165
Vitor Petrino
16
14
6
1.2
-300
Tyson Pedro
+240
Alex Perez
0
+250
Muhammad Mokaev
21
3
3.6
-310
Eryk Anders
26
21
8
-2.7
-450
Jamie Pickett
+350
Matt Schnell
3
+255
Steve Erceg
18
6
2.7
-325

Fight Analysis Recap

Click on any fight below to expand the detailed AI analysis and SHAP chart explaining the prediction.