Mario Bautista vs. Benito Lopez - UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Mario Bautista by Submission

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Bantamweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Mario Bautista
29
13
-2.9
-458
Benito Lopez
+250

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Mario Bautista Benito Lopez
Main Stats
Age 29 28
Height 69" 70"
Reach 69" 73"
Win Percentage 83.33% 90.91%
Wins 11 10
Losses 2 2
Wins at Weight Class 4 2
Losses at Weight Class 2 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 56.27% 42.86%
Significant Striking Accuracy 48.20% 41.99%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 7.598 4.344
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.265 4.193
Knockdowns per Fight 0.310 0.453
Striking Impact Differential 22.83% -15.33%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 10.50% -3.33%
Striking Output Differential 28.83% -28.33%
Significant Striking Output Differential 15.17% -8.00%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 67.93% 160.42%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 96.47% 148.20%
Striking Defense Percentage 56.16% 58.03%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.310 0.453
Takedowns per Fight 2.168 0.000
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 3.407 0.000
Takedown Defense 50.00% 100.00%
Takedown Accuracy 63.64% 0.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 3.531 1.931
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 8.486 6.244
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.519 2.836
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.115 0.724
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.631 1.689
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.743 0.815
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.619 1.539
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.805 2.051
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.702 0.845
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 1.218 0.272
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.487 0.453
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.578 0.241
Mario Bautista History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
June 25, 2022 Bantamweight Brian Kelleher Mario Bautista Mario Bautista
Feb. 19, 2022 Bantamweight Mario Bautista Jay Perrin Mario Bautista
March 6, 2021 Bantamweight Mario Bautista Trevin Jones Trevin Jones
Feb. 8, 2020 Bantamweight Miles Johns Mario Bautista Mario Bautista
July 20, 2019 Bantamweight Mario Bautista Jin Soo Son Mario Bautista
Jan. 19, 2019 Bantamweight Cory Sandhagen Mario Bautista Cory Sandhagen
Benito Lopez History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
July 13, 2019 Bantamweight Benito Lopez Vince Morales Benito Lopez
Feb. 17, 2019 Bantamweight Benito Lopez Manny Bermudez Manny Bermudez
Dec. 9, 2017 Bantamweight Albert Morales Benito Lopez Benito Lopez