Marina Rodriguez vs. Amanda Lemos - UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Amanda Lemos by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Women's Strawweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Marina Rodriguez
15
18
2.8
-262
Amanda Lemos
+180

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Marina Rodriguez Amanda Lemos
Main Stats
Age 35 35
Height 66" 64"
Reach 65" 65"
Win Percentage 94.12% 85.71%
Wins 16 13
Losses 2 2
Wins at Weight Class 5 6
Losses at Weight Class 3 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 50.63% 60.80%
Significant Striking Accuracy 46.85% 57.63%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.805 5.694
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.894 4.870
Knockdowns per Fight 0.206 1.343
Striking Impact Differential 16.56% -6.88%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 29.33% 3.25%
Striking Output Differential 36.11% -12.13%
Significant Striking Output Differential 51.33% -0.88%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 76.74% 77.67%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 85.71% 85.66%
Striking Defense Percentage 57.63% 48.64%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.206 0.537
Takedowns per Fight 0.103 1.074
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 0.514 1.880
Takedown Defense 51.72% 22.22%
Takedown Accuracy 20.00% 57.14%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.543 3.133
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 7.306 6.267
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.981 2.489
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.309 1.056
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.789 1.468
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.720 1.164
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 1.042 0.680
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 1.350 0.716
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.384 0.752
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 1.131 0.824
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.391 1.021
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.480 1.647
Marina Rodriguez History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
March 5, 2022 Women's Strawweight Marina Rodriguez Yan Xiaonan Marina Rodriguez
Oct. 9, 2021 Women's Strawweight Mackenzie Dern Marina Rodriguez Marina Rodriguez
May 8, 2021 Women's Flyweight Marina Rodriguez Michelle Waterson-Gomez Marina Rodriguez
Jan. 23, 2021 Women's Strawweight Marina Rodriguez Amanda Ribas Marina Rodriguez
July 25, 2020 Women's Strawweight Carla Esparza Marina Rodriguez Carla Esparza
Dec. 7, 2019 Women's Strawweight Marina Rodriguez Cynthia Calvillo None
Aug. 10, 2019 Women's Strawweight Tecia Pennington Marina Rodriguez Marina Rodriguez
March 30, 2019 Women's Strawweight Marina Rodriguez Jessica Aguilar Marina Rodriguez
Sept. 22, 2018 Women's Strawweight Randa Markos Marina Rodriguez None
Amanda Lemos History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
July 16, 2022 Women's Strawweight Michelle Waterson-Gomez Amanda Lemos Amanda Lemos
April 23, 2022 Women's Strawweight Amanda Lemos Jessica Andrade Jessica Andrade
Dec. 18, 2021 Women's Strawweight Amanda Lemos Angela Hill Amanda Lemos
July 17, 2021 Women's Strawweight Amanda Lemos Montserrat Conejo Ruiz Amanda Lemos
March 6, 2021 Women's Strawweight Livinha Souza Amanda Lemos Amanda Lemos
Aug. 22, 2020 Women's Strawweight Amanda Lemos Mizuki Amanda Lemos
Dec. 21, 2019 Women's Strawweight Miranda Granger Amanda Lemos Amanda Lemos
July 16, 2017 Women's Bantamweight Leslie Smith Amanda Lemos Leslie Smith