The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Sergei Pavlovich | Curtis Blaydes | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 30 | 32 | 34 | |
| Height | 75" | 76" | 75" | |
| Reach | 84" | 80" | 78" | |
| Win Percentage | 94.44% | 85.00% | 77.26% | |
| Wins | 18 | 17 | ||
| Losses | 1 | 4 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 5 | 12 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 1 | 4 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 53.46% | 61.55% | 54.03% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 51.90% | 51.18% | 48.70% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 8.593 | 6.392 | 5.867 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 8.074 | 3.537 | 4.470 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 6.667 | 0.195 | 0.697 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | 9.00% | 31.13% | 4.93% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | 8.50% | 17.69% | 4.57% | |
| Striking Output Differential | 16.50% | 44.25% | 10.04% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | 16.17% | 25.75% | 9.38% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 48.28% | 41.10% | 74.21% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 50.46% | 71.69% | 91.66% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 48.67% | 59.91% | 48.86% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.272 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 0.000 | 6.048 | 1.180 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 2.222 | 11.217 | 2.533 | |
| Takedown Defense | 50.00% | 200.00% | 107.72% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 0.00% | 53.91% | 27.78% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 7.778 | 2.393 | 2.941 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 14.815 | 5.625 | 7.087 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 1.926 | 1.255 | 2.538 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.222 | 0.442 | 0.815 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.667 | 0.514 | 1.061 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 1.037 | 0.267 | 0.761 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.074 | 0.702 | 0.714 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.074 | 0.774 | 0.830 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 1.333 | 0.176 | 0.634 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.333 | 0.475 | 0.598 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 2.519 | 0.592 | 0.832 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.593 | 0.267 | 0.446 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec. 3, 2022 | Heavyweight | Tai Tuivasa | Sergei Pavlovich | Sergei Pavlovich | |
| July 30, 2022 | Heavyweight | Derrick Lewis | Sergei Pavlovich | Sergei Pavlovich | |
| March 19, 2022 | Heavyweight | Shamil Abdurakhimov | Sergei Pavlovich | Sergei Pavlovich | |
| Oct. 26, 2019 | Heavyweight | Maurice Greene | Sergei Pavlovich | Sergei Pavlovich | |
| April 20, 2019 | Heavyweight | Sergei Pavlovich | Marcelo Golm | Sergei Pavlovich | |
| Nov. 24, 2018 | Heavyweight | Alistair Overeem | Sergei Pavlovich | Alistair Overeem |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 23, 2022 | Heavyweight | Curtis Blaydes | Tom Aspinall | Curtis Blaydes | |
| March 26, 2022 | Heavyweight | Curtis Blaydes | Chris Daukaus | Curtis Blaydes | |
| Sept. 25, 2021 | Heavyweight | Curtis Blaydes | Jairzinho Rozenstruik | Curtis Blaydes | |
| Feb. 20, 2021 | Heavyweight | Curtis Blaydes | Derrick Lewis | Derrick Lewis | |
| June 20, 2020 | Heavyweight | Curtis Blaydes | Alexander Volkov | Curtis Blaydes | |
| Jan. 25, 2020 | Heavyweight | Curtis Blaydes | Junior Dos Santos | Curtis Blaydes | |
| Sept. 7, 2019 | Heavyweight | Curtis Blaydes | Shamil Abdurakhimov | Curtis Blaydes | |
| March 23, 2019 | Heavyweight | Curtis Blaydes | Justin Willis | Curtis Blaydes | |
| Nov. 24, 2018 | Heavyweight | Curtis Blaydes | Francis Ngannou | Francis Ngannou | |
| June 9, 2018 | Heavyweight | Alistair Overeem | Curtis Blaydes | Curtis Blaydes | |
| Feb. 10, 2018 | Heavyweight | Mark Hunt | Curtis Blaydes | Curtis Blaydes | |
| Nov. 4, 2017 | Heavyweight | Aleksei Oleinik | Curtis Blaydes | Curtis Blaydes | |
| July 8, 2017 | Heavyweight | Daniel Omielanczuk | Curtis Blaydes | Curtis Blaydes | |
| Feb. 4, 2017 | Heavyweight | Adam Milstead | Curtis Blaydes | None | |
| Oct. 1, 2016 | Heavyweight | Cody East | Curtis Blaydes | Curtis Blaydes | |
| April 10, 2016 | Heavyweight | Francis Ngannou | Curtis Blaydes | Francis Ngannou |