Karol Rosa vs. Norma Dumont - UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Norma Dumont by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: 7.00m
Weight Class: Women's Featherweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Karol Rosa
16
17
25.0
-105
Norma Dumont
-117

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Karol Rosa Norma Dumont
Main Stats
Age 28 32
Height 65" 67"
Reach 67" 67"
Win Percentage 80.00% 80.00%
Wins 16 9
Losses 5 2
Wins at Weight Class 0 3
Losses at Weight Class 0 2
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 65.58% 60.63%
Significant Striking Accuracy 56.49% 49.85%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 9.844 5.863
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.144 3.638
Knockdowns per Fight 0.167 0.339
Striking Impact Differential 51.83% 18.17%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 30.50% 23.50%
Striking Output Differential 64.83% 4.83%
Significant Striking Output Differential 41.17% 10.00%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 43.68% 80.35%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 65.46% 125.78%
Striking Defense Percentage 49.45% 69.11%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 1.667 1.186
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 3.333 2.203
Takedown Defense 38.46% 42.86%
Takedown Accuracy 50.00% 53.85%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 3.822 2.553
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 8.056 5.875
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.378 1.118
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.922 0.644
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.078 0.836
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.956 0.554
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 1.400 0.441
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 1.744 0.588
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.778 0.373
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.700 0.588
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.878 0.734
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.444 0.350
Karol Rosa History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Oct. 22, 2022 Women's Bantamweight Karol Rosa Lina Lansberg Karol Rosa
March 26, 2022 Women's Bantamweight Sara McMann Karol Rosa Sara McMann
Oct. 2, 2021 Women's Bantamweight Bethe Correia Karol Rosa Karol Rosa
Feb. 6, 2021 Women's Bantamweight Karol Rosa Joselyne Edwards Karol Rosa
July 11, 2020 Women's Bantamweight Karol Rosa Vanessa Melo Karol Rosa
Aug. 31, 2019 Women's Bantamweight Karol Rosa Lara Procopio Karol Rosa
Norma Dumont History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Sept. 10, 2022 Women's Featherweight Norma Dumont Danyelle Wolf Norma Dumont
May 7, 2022 Women's Featherweight Macy Chiasson Norma Dumont Macy Chiasson
Oct. 16, 2021 Women's Featherweight Aspen Ladd Norma Dumont Norma Dumont
May 22, 2021 Women's Featherweight Felicia Spencer Norma Dumont Norma Dumont
Nov. 28, 2020 Women's Bantamweight Ashlee Evans-Smith Norma Dumont Norma Dumont
Feb. 29, 2020 Women's Featherweight Megan Anderson Norma Dumont Megan Anderson