Shane Burgos vs. Charles Jourdain - UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Shane Burgos by Decision - Majority

Fight Info:
Location: Elmont, New York, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Featherweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Shane Burgos
25
17
13.7
-190
Charles Jourdain
+140

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Shane Burgos Charles Jourdain
Main Stats
Age 31 26
Height 71" 69"
Reach 75" 69"
Win Percentage 82.35% 76.47%
Wins 15 13
Losses 3 5
Wins at Weight Class 7 4
Losses at Weight Class 3 2
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 56.33% 52.47%
Significant Striking Accuracy 52.42% 49.20%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 9.602 6.522
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 7.952 5.597
Knockdowns per Fight 0.717 0.904
Striking Impact Differential 31.30% 20.50%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 15.90% 13.25%
Striking Output Differential 8.90% 7.25%
Significant Striking Output Differential -8.90% -0.50%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 96.10% 106.93%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 115.63% 122.98%
Striking Defense Percentage 57.90% 60.30%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.120 0.603
Takedowns per Fight 0.239 0.000
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 0.239 0.452
Takedown Defense 9.38% 116.67%
Takedown Accuracy 100.00% 0.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 5.163 2.834
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 11.721 7.526
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 4.550 2.643
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.538 1.407
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 2.064 2.261
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.869 1.216
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 1.251 1.357
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 1.387 1.588
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 1.267 0.673
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.741 0.663
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.892 0.914
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.335 0.462
Shane Burgos History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Nov. 6, 2021 Featherweight Shane Burgos Billy Quarantillo Shane Burgos
May 15, 2021 Featherweight Shane Burgos Edson Barboza Edson Barboza
June 20, 2020 Featherweight Josh Emmett Shane Burgos Josh Emmett
Nov. 2, 2019 Featherweight Shane Burgos Makwan Amirkhani Shane Burgos
May 4, 2019 Featherweight Cub Swanson Shane Burgos Shane Burgos
Nov. 3, 2018 Featherweight Shane Burgos Kurt Holobaugh Shane Burgos
Jan. 20, 2018 Featherweight Calvin Kattar Shane Burgos Calvin Kattar
July 22, 2017 Featherweight Shane Burgos Godofredo Pepey Shane Burgos
April 8, 2017 Featherweight Shane Burgos Charles Rosa Shane Burgos
Dec. 9, 2016 Featherweight Tiago dos Santos e Silva Shane Burgos Shane Burgos
Charles Jourdain History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
April 23, 2022 Featherweight Lando Vannata Charles Jourdain Charles Jourdain
Dec. 18, 2021 Featherweight Charles Jourdain Andre Ewell Charles Jourdain
Sept. 4, 2021 Catch Weight Julian Erosa Charles Jourdain Julian Erosa
March 13, 2021 Featherweight Charles Jourdain Marcelo Rojo Charles Jourdain
Oct. 3, 2020 Featherweight Charles Jourdain Josh Culibao None
June 13, 2020 Featherweight Andre Fili Charles Jourdain Andre Fili
Dec. 21, 2019 Featherweight Dooho Choi Charles Jourdain Charles Jourdain
May 18, 2019 Lightweight Desmond Green Charles Jourdain Desmond Green