Michelle Waterson-Gomez vs. Amanda Lemos - UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Amanda Lemos by Submission

Fight Info:
Location: Elmont, New York, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Women's Strawweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Michelle Waterson-Gomez
+240
Amanda Lemos
24
14
1.4
-350

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Michelle Waterson-Gomez Amanda Lemos
Main Stats
Age 36 35
Height 63" 64"
Reach 62" 65"
Win Percentage 66.67% 84.62%
Wins 18 12
Losses 10 2
Wins at Weight Class 6 5
Losses at Weight Class 4 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 54.33% 61.07%
Significant Striking Accuracy 47.71% 57.67%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.059 6.075
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.775 5.138
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 1.529
Striking Impact Differential -12.18% -5.71%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -11.27% 5.00%
Striking Output Differential -16.91% -10.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential -15.09% 2.00%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 89.99% 73.83%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 116.01% 81.75%
Striking Defense Percentage 49.38% 48.70%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.691 0.306
Takedowns per Fight 1.295 1.223
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 4.489 2.141
Takedown Defense 47.06% 12.50%
Takedown Accuracy 28.85% 57.14%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 1.813 3.344
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 5.110 6.667
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.273 2.691
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.111 1.142
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.588 1.570
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.232 1.183
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.852 0.652
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 1.214 0.673
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.984 0.551
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.737 0.938
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.898 1.162
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.036 1.876
Michelle Waterson-Gomez History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
May 8, 2021 Women's Flyweight Marina Rodriguez Michelle Waterson-Gomez Marina Rodriguez
Sept. 12, 2020 Women's Strawweight Michelle Waterson-Gomez Angela Hill Michelle Waterson-Gomez
May 9, 2020 Women's Strawweight Carla Esparza Michelle Waterson-Gomez Carla Esparza
Oct. 12, 2019 Women's Strawweight Joanna Jedrzejczyk Michelle Waterson-Gomez Joanna Jedrzejczyk
March 30, 2019 Women's Strawweight Karolina Kowalkiewicz Michelle Waterson-Gomez Michelle Waterson-Gomez
Oct. 6, 2018 Women's Strawweight Michelle Waterson-Gomez Felice Herrig Michelle Waterson-Gomez
April 14, 2018 Women's Strawweight Michelle Waterson-Gomez Cortney Casey Michelle Waterson-Gomez
Dec. 2, 2017 Women's Strawweight Tecia Pennington Michelle Waterson-Gomez Tecia Pennington
April 15, 2017 Women's Strawweight Rose Namajunas Michelle Waterson-Gomez Rose Namajunas
Dec. 17, 2016 Women's Strawweight Paige VanZant Michelle Waterson-Gomez Michelle Waterson-Gomez
July 12, 2015 Women's Strawweight Angela Magana Michelle Waterson-Gomez Michelle Waterson-Gomez
Amanda Lemos History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
April 23, 2022 Women's Strawweight Amanda Lemos Jessica Andrade Jessica Andrade
Dec. 18, 2021 Women's Strawweight Amanda Lemos Angela Hill Amanda Lemos
July 17, 2021 Women's Strawweight Amanda Lemos Montserrat Conejo Ruiz Amanda Lemos
March 6, 2021 Women's Strawweight Livinha Souza Amanda Lemos Amanda Lemos
Aug. 22, 2020 Women's Strawweight Amanda Lemos Mizuki Amanda Lemos
Dec. 21, 2019 Women's Strawweight Miranda Granger Amanda Lemos Amanda Lemos
July 16, 2017 Women's Bantamweight Leslie Smith Amanda Lemos Leslie Smith