Matt Schnell vs. Sumudaerji - UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Matt Schnell by Submission

Fight Info:
Location: Elmont, New York, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Flyweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Matt Schnell
+210
Sumudaerji
23
16
5.1
-286

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Matt Schnell Sumudaerji
Main Stats
Age 32 26
Height 68" 68"
Reach 70" 72"
Win Percentage 71.43% 80.00%
Wins 16 16
Losses 6 5
Wins at Weight Class 4 2
Losses at Weight Class 3 0
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 44.31% 52.60%
Significant Striking Accuracy 38.32% 51.20%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.492 4.809
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.258 4.491
Knockdowns per Fight 0.189 0.396
Striking Impact Differential 2.70% 21.25%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 0.20% 21.75%
Striking Output Differential 7.20% 16.25%
Significant Striking Output Differential 4.60% 17.25%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 115.37% 101.10%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 147.93% 105.88%
Striking Defense Percentage 59.81% 68.44%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.945 0.793
Takedowns per Fight 0.378 0.396
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 1.134 0.396
Takedown Defense 100.00% 28.57%
Takedown Accuracy 33.33% 100.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.885 3.118
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 9.171 6.816
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.973 1.665
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.630 0.502
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.995 0.898
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.466 0.238
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.743 0.872
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.945 1.057
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.794 0.291
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.340 0.079
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.529 0.106
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.365 0.211
Matt Schnell History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
May 7, 2022 Flyweight Brandon Royval Matt Schnell Brandon Royval
May 15, 2021 Bantamweight Matt Schnell Rogerio Bontorin None
Jan. 20, 2021 Flyweight Matt Schnell Tyson Nam Matt Schnell
Dec. 21, 2019 Flyweight Alexandre Pantoja Matt Schnell Alexandre Pantoja
Aug. 3, 2019 Flyweight Jordan Espinosa Matt Schnell Matt Schnell
March 9, 2019 Bantamweight Louis Smolka Matt Schnell Matt Schnell
June 23, 2018 Flyweight Matt Schnell Naoki Inoue Matt Schnell
Oct. 7, 2017 Flyweight Matt Schnell Marco Beltran Matt Schnell
April 22, 2017 Flyweight Hector Sandoval Matt Schnell Hector Sandoval
Dec. 3, 2016 Bantamweight Rob Font Matt Schnell Rob Font
Sumudaerji History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Jan. 20, 2021 Flyweight Sumudaerji Zarrukh Adashev Sumudaerji
Nov. 28, 2020 Flyweight Sumudaerji Malcolm Gordon Sumudaerji
Aug. 31, 2019 Bantamweight Sumudaerji Andre Soukhamthath Sumudaerji
Nov. 24, 2018 Bantamweight Sumudaerji Louis Smolka Louis Smolka