Dwight Grant vs. Dustin Stoltzfus - UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Dustin Stoltzfus by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Elmont, New York, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Middleweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Dwight Grant
17
20
26.0
-105
Dustin Stoltzfus
-140

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Dwight Grant Dustin Stoltzfus
Main Stats
Age 37 30
Height 73" 72"
Reach 76" 75"
Win Percentage 68.75% 76.47%
Wins 11 14
Losses 6 4
Wins at Weight Class 0 0
Losses at Weight Class 0 3
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 34.73% 55.72%
Significant Striking Accuracy 32.37% 38.68%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.458 5.744
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.067 2.784
Knockdowns per Fight 0.587 0.000
Striking Impact Differential 5.29% 15.00%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 6.71% -4.33%
Striking Output Differential 31.14% 35.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential 33.00% 18.33%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 119.62% 53.28%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 130.64% 97.30%
Striking Defense Percentage 62.02% 46.55%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.376
Takedowns per Fight 0.783 1.505
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 0.783 5.268
Takedown Defense 50.00% 100.00%
Takedown Accuracy 100.00% 28.57%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 1.957 1.881
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 7.960 5.995
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.305 2.659
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.483 0.527
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.744 0.778
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.666 0.301
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.626 0.376
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.770 0.426
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.483 0.151
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.170 0.376
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.196 0.477
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.131 0.376
Dwight Grant History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
April 23, 2022 Welterweight Dwight Grant Sergey Khandozhko Sergey Khandozhko
Oct. 23, 2021 Welterweight Francisco Trinaldo Dwight Grant Francisco Trinaldo
April 24, 2021 Welterweight Dwight Grant Stefan Sekulic Dwight Grant
Aug. 22, 2020 Welterweight Daniel Rodriguez Dwight Grant Daniel Rodriguez
April 13, 2019 Welterweight Alan Jouban Dwight Grant Dwight Grant
Feb. 23, 2019 Welterweight Dwight Grant Carlo Pedersoli Jr. Dwight Grant
Dec. 15, 2018 Welterweight Zak Ottow Dwight Grant Zak Ottow
Dustin Stoltzfus History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Dec. 18, 2021 Middleweight Dustin Stoltzfus Gerald Meerschaert Gerald Meerschaert
July 17, 2021 Middleweight Rodolfo Vieira Dustin Stoltzfus Rodolfo Vieira
Nov. 21, 2020 Middleweight Kyle Daukaus Dustin Stoltzfus Kyle Daukaus