The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Brian Ortega | Yair Rodriguez | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 31 | 29 | 31 | |
| Height | 68" | 71" | 69" | |
| Reach | 69" | 71" | 71" | |
| Win Percentage | 88.24% | 82.35% | 80.09% | |
| Wins | 15 | 19 | ||
| Losses | 3 | 4 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 7 | 7 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 1 | 3 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 39.41% | 49.67% | 52.00% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 38.01% | 45.14% | 45.25% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.429 | 5.738 | 5.377 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.154 | 4.649 | 3.847 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.543 | 0.285 | 0.627 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | -43.90% | 3.55% | 2.45% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | -35.10% | 8.00% | 1.13% | |
| Striking Output Differential | -44.10% | 14.09% | 4.17% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | -32.70% | 21.45% | 2.58% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 154.08% | 88.52% | 97.19% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 158.89% | 101.36% | 123.21% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 49.65% | 53.53% | 52.82% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 1.194 | 0.760 | 0.878 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 0.868 | 0.855 | 1.607 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 3.582 | 3.040 | 4.117 | |
| Takedown Defense | 78.57% | 65.22% | 83.19% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 24.24% | 28.13% | 39.31% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.909 | 2.553 | 2.430 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 9.314 | 7.563 | 6.427 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 4.841 | 2.882 | 2.428 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.774 | 0.855 | 0.870 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.035 | 1.292 | 1.270 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 1.013 | 0.766 | 0.925 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.470 | 1.241 | 0.547 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.579 | 1.444 | 0.670 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.840 | 0.443 | 0.548 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.282 | 0.285 | 0.455 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.384 | 0.437 | 0.628 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.152 | 0.348 | 0.554 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 25, 2021 | UFC Featherweight Title | Alexander Volkanovski | Brian Ortega | Alexander Volkanovski | |
| Oct. 17, 2020 | Featherweight | Brian Ortega | Chan Sung Jung | Brian Ortega | |
| Dec. 8, 2018 | UFC Featherweight Title | Max Holloway | Brian Ortega | Max Holloway | |
| March 3, 2018 | Featherweight | Frankie Edgar | Brian Ortega | Brian Ortega | |
| Dec. 9, 2017 | Featherweight | Cub Swanson | Brian Ortega | Brian Ortega | |
| July 29, 2017 | Featherweight | Brian Ortega | Renato Moicano | Brian Ortega | |
| June 4, 2016 | Featherweight | Brian Ortega | Clay Guida | Brian Ortega | |
| Jan. 2, 2016 | Featherweight | Diego Brandao | Brian Ortega | Brian Ortega | |
| June 6, 2015 | Featherweight | Thiago Tavares | Brian Ortega | Brian Ortega | |
| July 26, 2014 | Featherweight | Mike de la Torre | Brian Ortega | None |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov. 13, 2021 | Featherweight | Max Holloway | Yair Rodriguez | Max Holloway | |
| Oct. 18, 2019 | Featherweight | Yair Rodriguez | Jeremy Stephens | Yair Rodriguez | |
| Sept. 21, 2019 | Featherweight | Yair Rodriguez | Jeremy Stephens | None | |
| Nov. 10, 2018 | Featherweight | Chan Sung Jung | Yair Rodriguez | Yair Rodriguez | |
| May 13, 2017 | Featherweight | Frankie Edgar | Yair Rodriguez | Frankie Edgar | |
| Jan. 15, 2017 | Featherweight | Yair Rodriguez | BJ Penn | Yair Rodriguez | |
| Aug. 6, 2016 | Featherweight | Yair Rodriguez | Alex Caceres | Yair Rodriguez | |
| April 23, 2016 | Featherweight | Yair Rodriguez | Andre Fili | Yair Rodriguez | |
| Oct. 3, 2015 | Featherweight | Yair Rodriguez | Dan Hooker | Yair Rodriguez | |
| June 13, 2015 | Featherweight | Yair Rodriguez | Charles Rosa | Yair Rodriguez | |
| Nov. 15, 2014 | Ultimate Fighter Latin America Featherweight Tournament Title | Yair Rodriguez | Leonardo Morales | Yair Rodriguez |