Bill Algeo vs. Herbert Burns - UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Bill Algeo by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: Elmont, New York, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Featherweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Bill Algeo
16
-220
Herbert Burns
22
41.1
+163

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Bill Algeo Herbert Burns
Main Stats
Age 33 34
Height 72" 69"
Reach 73" 73"
Win Percentage 71.43% 78.57%
Wins 16 11
Losses 6 4
Wins at Weight Class 2 1
Losses at Weight Class 2 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 63.09% 64.10%
Significant Striking Accuracy 53.36% 44.90%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 7.750 3.659
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.900 1.610
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 1.098
Striking Impact Differential 51.75% -44.33%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 18.50% -14.00%
Striking Output Differential 69.00% -48.33%
Significant Striking Output Differential 34.00% -13.67%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 43.66% 80.00%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 66.33% 118.18%
Striking Defense Percentage 46.99% 28.89%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 2.195
Takedowns per Fight 1.000 5.488
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 1.750 6.585
Takedown Defense 86.36% 100.00%
Takedown Accuracy 57.14% 83.33%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 3.000 0.878
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 6.467 2.268
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.200 4.024
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.250 0.585
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.950 1.098
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.733 0.439
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.650 0.146
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.767 0.220
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.733 0.220
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.850 0.293
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.100 0.439
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.400 0.220
Bill Algeo History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Jan. 15, 2022 Featherweight Bill Algeo Joanderson Brito Bill Algeo
May 22, 2021 Featherweight Ricardo Ramos Bill Algeo Ricardo Ramos
Nov. 28, 2020 Featherweight Spike Carlyle Bill Algeo Bill Algeo
Aug. 29, 2020 Featherweight Ricardo Lamas Bill Algeo Ricardo Lamas
Herbert Burns History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Aug. 15, 2020 Featherweight Herbert Burns Daniel Pineda Daniel Pineda
June 6, 2020 Catch Weight Evan Dunham Herbert Burns Herbert Burns
Jan. 25, 2020 Featherweight Herbert Burns Nate Landwehr Herbert Burns