Daniel Zellhuber vs. Francisco Prado - UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Daniel Zellhuber by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico
Elevation: 2240.00m
Weight Class: Lightweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
Fighter
WolfTicketsAI
Profit
Plain
Odds When Predicted

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Analysis: Daniel Zellhuber vs Francisco Prado

WolfTicketsAI Predicts Daniel Zellhuber to Win

Score: 17 Odds: Daniel Zellhuber: -285 Francisco Prado: +225

Daniel Zellhuber's Breakdown

Daniel Zellhuber, holding a strong record of 14 wins and only 1 loss, demonstrates a solid performance history in the UFC. WolfTicketsAI's predictions have been spot-on for Zellhuber's past two fights, accurately forecasting his wins over Christos Giagos and Lando Vannata. Zellhuber showcases a diverse skill set, evidenced by his victories via submission and unanimous decision. His ability to adapt his strategy mid-fight, moving from striking to grappling as seen in the Giagos fight, highlights his versatility. Additionally, his resilience in surviving early adversity against Giagos and eventually securing a submission win underlines his fighting IQ and physical endurance.

Francisco Prado's Breakdown

Francisco Prado enters the octagon with an impressive record of 12 wins and 1 loss. Prado's recent performance against Ottman Azaitar, where he secured a TKO victory, showcases his powerful striking capabilities. However, his loss to Jamie Mullarkey by unanimous decision reveals potential vulnerabilities, particularly in grappling exchanges and maintaining a consistent offensive output. Despite this, Prado's aggressive style and ability to finish fights stand out as his key strengths. WolfTicketsAI correctly predicted his victory over Azaitar, indicating a reliable understanding of Prado's fighting style.

Analysis and Key Points

Zellhuber's superior reach, technical striking, and versatile skill set give him a distinct advantage. He tends to maintain a high striking output while effectively managing distance, which could be pivotal against Prado's aggressive style. Prado, while powerful, may struggle with Zellhuber's reach and adaptability.

Understanding the Prediction

  • Odds: Zellhuber's favorable odds significantly influenced the model's prediction.
  • Reach: Zellhuber's reach advantage is crucial in striking exchanges.
  • Recent Significant Striking Impact Differential: Zellhuber's recent striking effectiveness adds to his advantage.
  • Striking Defense Percentage: His defensive capabilities further solidify his edge.
  • Significant Striking Impact Differential: Indicates Zellhuber's overall striking superiority.

Past Model Performance

WolfTicketsAI has a strong track record with both fighters, accurately predicting the outcomes of their recent fights. This adds confidence to the current prediction.

Conclusion

Daniel Zellhuber's diverse skill set, superior reach, and striking efficiency, coupled with his ability to adapt mid-fight, give him the edge over Francisco Prado. Prado's power and aggressive approach pose a threat, but Zellhuber's technical prowess and defensive skills are likely to prevail. Expect an exciting match with Zellhuber using his reach and versatility to control the fight and secure the win.

Stat Breakdown

Stat Daniel Zellhuber Francisco Prado
Main Stats
Age 24 21
Height 73" 70"
Reach 77" 69"
Win Percentage 93.33% 92.31%
Wins 15 12
Losses 1 2
Wins at Weight Class 2 1
Losses at Weight Class 1 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 34.13% 52.52%
Significant Striking Accuracy 34.16% 50.00%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.475 3.825
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.319 3.459
Knockdowns per Fight 0.390 0.786
Striking Impact Differential 3.67% -10.50%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 2.00% -3.50%
Striking Output Differential 54.00% -11.50%
Significant Striking Output Differential 48.33% -2.50%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 105.23% 93.15%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 109.04% 96.97%
Striking Defense Percentage 53.08% 46.72%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.390 0.786
Takedowns per Fight 0.000 0.000
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 0.390 3.930
Takedown Defense 5.88% 300.00%
Takedown Accuracy 0.00% 0.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.706 2.568
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 9.913 5.450
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.743 1.782
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.015 0.314
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 2.082 0.838
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.572 1.048
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.598 0.576
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.651 0.629
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 1.847 0.996
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.208 0.052
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.208 0.052
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.104 0.105
Daniel Zellhuber History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Sept. 16, 2023 Lightweight Daniel Zellhuber Christos Giagos Daniel Zellhuber
April 15, 2023 Lightweight Lando Vannata Daniel Zellhuber Daniel Zellhuber
Sept. 17, 2022 Lightweight Trey Ogden Daniel Zellhuber Trey Ogden
Francisco Prado History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
July 15, 2023 Lightweight Ottman Azaitar Francisco Prado Francisco Prado
Feb. 11, 2023 Lightweight Jamie Mullarkey Francisco Prado Jamie Mullarkey