UFC Event Results

Nov. 2, 2024

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi

Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
645.00m Elevation

Model Performance Summary (% Correct)

WTAI Model

Main: 60.0% Under: 100.0% Full: 84.62%

Profit Model

Main: 60.0% Under: 62.5% Full: 61.54%

Plain Model

Main: 60.0% Under: 50.0% Full: 53.85%

Selected Bets Results

ROI: %

Parlay #1

Youssef Zalal

Win

-240

Strength: 15.0 points
EV: 4.6%

Trevin Giles

Win

-290

Strength: 11.0 points
EV: -4.2%

Dustin Stoltzfus

Win

-225

Strength: 13.0 points
EV: 4.9%

Total Odds

2.75x

Return on $10 Bet

$17.52

Parlay #2

Pedro Munhoz

Win

+118

Strength: 7.0 points
EV: 18.3%

Rose Namajunas

Win

-132

Strength: 8.0 points
EV: 12.3%

Youssef Zalal

Win

-240

Strength: 15.0 points
EV: 4.6%

Total Odds

5.43x

Return on $10 Bet

$44.28

Parlay #3

Amir Albazi

Win

-164

Strength: 4.0 points
EV: -2.0%

Garrett Armfield

Win

-188

Strength: 9.0 points
EV: 3.9%

Total Odds

2.47x

Return on $10 Bet

$14.66

The tables below show how the model predictions performed. Confidence scores indicate the model's certainty.

Correct predictions are shown in normal text, incorrect predictions are highlighted in red.

WTAI = WTAI Model Profit = Profit Model Plain = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
W
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Brandon Moreno
4
10
8
-2.0
-164
Amir Albazi
+124
Erin Blanchfield
8
10
6
12.3
-132
Rose Namajunas
+104
Caio Machado
16
12
14
14.1
-164
Brendson Ribeiro
+128
Marc-Andre Barriault
13
16
2
4.9
-225
Dustin Stoltzfus
+172
Mike Malott
11
15
9
-4.2
-290
Trevin Giles
+215

Fight Analysis Recap

Click on any fight below to expand the detailed AI analysis and SHAP chart explaining the prediction.