Rongzhu vs. Ignacio Bahamondes - UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Ignacio Bahamondes by Submission

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Lightweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Rongzhu
19
42.1
+170
Ignacio Bahamondes
13
-275

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Rongzhu Ignacio Bahamondes
Main Stats
Age 21 24
Height 69" 75"
Reach 72" 75"
Win Percentage 85.19% 75.00%
Wins 25 13
Losses 5 3
Wins at Weight Class 1 1
Losses at Weight Class 1 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 58.65% 41.70%
Significant Striking Accuracy 53.56% 40.19%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.186 8.056
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.327 7.254
Knockdowns per Fight 0.507 0.501
Striking Impact Differential 2.50% 15.50%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -4.50% 19.00%
Striking Output Differential -9.00% 68.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential -21.00% 70.00%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 83.06% 96.27%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 112.50% 101.84%
Striking Defense Percentage 51.25% 55.25%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 4.563 0.000
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 6.085 2.006
Takedown Defense 100.00% 100.00%
Takedown Accuracy 75.00% 0.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 3.752 3.877
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 7.403 13.805
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.265 3.978
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.338 1.772
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.439 2.273
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.217 1.170
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.237 1.605
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.237 1.972
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 1.149 0.836
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.034 0.635
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.034 0.802
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.135 0.535
Rongzhu History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Sept. 18, 2021 Lightweight Rongzhu Brandon Jenkins Rongzhu
April 24, 2021 Lightweight Kazula Vargas Rongzhu Kazula Vargas
Ignacio Bahamondes History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Aug. 21, 2021 Lightweight Roosevelt Roberts Ignacio Bahamondes Ignacio Bahamondes
April 10, 2021 Lightweight John Makdessi Ignacio Bahamondes John Makdessi