Marcin Tybura vs. Blagoy Ivanov - UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Marcin Tybura by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: 778.00m
Weight Class: Heavyweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Marcin Tybura
27
14
21.2
-138
Blagoy Ivanov
+114

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Marcin Tybura Blagoy Ivanov
Main Stats
Age 37 36
Height 75" 71"
Reach 78" 73"
Win Percentage 76.67% 82.61%
Wins 24 19
Losses 7 5
Wins at Weight Class 10 3
Losses at Weight Class 6 3
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 60.20% 46.09%
Significant Striking Accuracy 49.32% 41.90%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.600 4.120
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.615 3.440
Knockdowns per Fight 0.075 0.150
Striking Impact Differential 24.63% -6.00%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 2.88% -12.83%
Striking Output Differential 24.75% -8.83%
Significant Striking Output Differential -2.06% -16.00%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 65.96% 121.12%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 113.67% 144.19%
Striking Defense Percentage 54.83% 54.09%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.075 0.150
Takedowns per Fight 1.423 0.900
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 4.344 2.250
Takedown Defense 25.93% 28.57%
Takedown Accuracy 32.76% 40.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.446 2.670
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 5.801 7.330
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.332 2.540
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.649 0.700
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.934 0.810
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.669 1.070
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.519 0.070
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.594 0.070
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.384 0.600
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.389 0.370
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.589 0.500
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.644 0.610
Marcin Tybura History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Aug. 20, 2022 Heavyweight Marcin Tybura Alexandr Romanov Marcin Tybura
Oct. 30, 2021 Heavyweight Alexander Volkov Marcin Tybura Alexander Volkov
June 5, 2021 Heavyweight Walt Harris Marcin Tybura Marcin Tybura
Dec. 19, 2020 Heavyweight Marcin Tybura Greg Hardy Marcin Tybura
Oct. 10, 2020 Heavyweight Ben Rothwell Marcin Tybura Marcin Tybura
July 11, 2020 Heavyweight Marcin Tybura Maxim Grishin Marcin Tybura
Feb. 29, 2020 Heavyweight Marcin Tybura Serghei Spivac Marcin Tybura
Sept. 14, 2019 Heavyweight Marcin Tybura Augusto Sakai Augusto Sakai
April 20, 2019 Heavyweight Marcin Tybura Shamil Abdurakhimov Shamil Abdurakhimov
July 22, 2018 Heavyweight Marcin Tybura Stefan Struve Marcin Tybura
Feb. 18, 2018 Heavyweight Derrick Lewis Marcin Tybura Derrick Lewis
Nov. 18, 2017 Heavyweight Fabricio Werdum Marcin Tybura Fabricio Werdum
June 17, 2017 Heavyweight Andrei Arlovski Marcin Tybura Marcin Tybura
March 4, 2017 Heavyweight Marcin Tybura Luis Henrique Marcin Tybura
Aug. 6, 2016 Heavyweight Viktor Pesta Marcin Tybura Marcin Tybura
April 10, 2016 Heavyweight Timothy Johnson Marcin Tybura Timothy Johnson
Blagoy Ivanov History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
May 7, 2022 Heavyweight Blagoy Ivanov Marcos Rogerio de Lima Blagoy Ivanov
May 30, 2020 Heavyweight Blagoy Ivanov Augusto Sakai Augusto Sakai
Nov. 2, 2019 Heavyweight Derrick Lewis Blagoy Ivanov Derrick Lewis
June 8, 2019 Heavyweight Tai Tuivasa Blagoy Ivanov Blagoy Ivanov
March 9, 2019 Heavyweight Blagoy Ivanov Ben Rothwell Blagoy Ivanov
July 14, 2018 Heavyweight Junior Dos Santos Blagoy Ivanov Junior Dos Santos