Marcin Prachnio vs. Philipe Lins - UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Philipe Lins by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Light Heavyweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Marcin Prachnio
20
22
20.3
-143
Philipe Lins
-105

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Marcin Prachnio Philipe Lins
Main Stats
Age 33 36
Height 75" 74"
Reach 74" 78"
Win Percentage 75.00% 73.68%
Wins 15 15
Losses 6 5
Wins at Weight Class 2 0
Losses at Weight Class 3 0
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 55.37% 40.52%
Significant Striking Accuracy 51.60% 40.52%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 7.382 2.658
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.276 2.658
Knockdowns per Fight 0.488 0.000
Striking Impact Differential 19.20% -9.00%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 13.40% -9.00%
Striking Output Differential 21.20% -6.50%
Significant Striking Output Differential 15.00% -6.50%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 76.21% 136.17%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 89.64% 136.17%
Striking Defense Percentage 57.86% 49.61%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 0.000 0.000
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 0.976 0.000
Takedown Defense 0.00% 100.00%
Takedown Accuracy 0.00% 0.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 1.984 1.640
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 6.927 4.524
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.602 1.583
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.691 0.566
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 2.342 1.470
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.846 0.509
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 2.602 0.452
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 2.894 0.566
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.650 1.583
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.455 0.170
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.683 0.226
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.585 0.226
Marcin Prachnio History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
June 26, 2021 Light Heavyweight Marcin Prachnio Ike Villanueva Marcin Prachnio
Jan. 23, 2021 Light Heavyweight Khalil Rountree Jr. Marcin Prachnio Marcin Prachnio
Aug. 22, 2020 Light Heavyweight Marcin Prachnio Mike Rodriguez Mike Rodriguez
Sept. 15, 2018 Light Heavyweight Magomed Ankalaev Marcin Prachnio Magomed Ankalaev
Feb. 24, 2018 Light Heavyweight Sam Alvey Marcin Prachnio Sam Alvey
Philipe Lins History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
June 27, 2020 Heavyweight Philipe Lins Tanner Boser Tanner Boser
May 13, 2020 Heavyweight Andrei Arlovski Philipe Lins Andrei Arlovski