Amanda Lemos vs. Jessica Andrade - UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Jessica Andrade by Submission

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Women's Strawweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Amanda Lemos
13
+180
Jessica Andrade
19
6.2
-270

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Amanda Lemos Jessica Andrade
Main Stats
Age 34 30
Height 64" 61"
Reach 65" 62"
Win Percentage 91.67% 70.97%
Wins 11 23
Losses 2 9
Wins at Weight Class 5 6
Losses at Weight Class 0 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 61.78% 57.46%
Significant Striking Accuracy 58.33% 50.27%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.349 8.709
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.346 6.243
Knockdowns per Fight 1.636 0.229
Striking Impact Differential -7.33% 22.10%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 5.17% 10.20%
Striking Output Differential -13.00% 25.75%
Significant Striking Output Differential 1.00% 12.75%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 73.54% 69.76%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 81.63% 94.79%
Striking Defense Percentage 48.31% 53.20%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.327 0.381
Takedowns per Fight 1.309 2.898
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 2.291 5.186
Takedown Defense 14.29% 51.52%
Takedown Accuracy 57.14% 55.88%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 3.491 4.057
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 6.873 9.553
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.880 3.462
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.222 1.596
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.636 2.222
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.244 0.930
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.633 0.590
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.655 0.646
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.546 0.813
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 1.004 1.332
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.244 2.135
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.007 0.981
Amanda Lemos History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Dec. 18, 2021 Women's Strawweight Amanda Lemos Angela Hill Amanda Lemos
July 17, 2021 Women's Strawweight Amanda Lemos Montserrat Conejo Ruiz Amanda Lemos
March 6, 2021 Women's Strawweight Livinha Souza Amanda Lemos Amanda Lemos
Aug. 22, 2020 Women's Strawweight Amanda Lemos Mizuki Amanda Lemos
Dec. 21, 2019 Women's Strawweight Miranda Granger Amanda Lemos Amanda Lemos
July 16, 2017 Women's Bantamweight Leslie Smith Amanda Lemos Leslie Smith
Jessica Andrade History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Sept. 25, 2021 Women's Flyweight Jessica Andrade Cynthia Calvillo Jessica Andrade
April 24, 2021 UFC Women's Flyweight Title Valentina Shevchenko Jessica Andrade Valentina Shevchenko
Oct. 17, 2020 Women's Flyweight Katlyn Cerminara Jessica Andrade Jessica Andrade
July 11, 2020 Women's Strawweight Jessica Andrade Rose Namajunas Rose Namajunas
Aug. 31, 2019 UFC Women's Strawweight Title Jessica Andrade Zhang Weili Zhang Weili
May 11, 2019 UFC Women's Strawweight Title Rose Namajunas Jessica Andrade Jessica Andrade
Sept. 8, 2018 Women's Strawweight Jessica Andrade Karolina Kowalkiewicz Jessica Andrade
Feb. 24, 2018 Women's Strawweight Jessica Andrade Tecia Pennington Jessica Andrade
Sept. 22, 2017 Women's Strawweight Claudia Gadelha Jessica Andrade Jessica Andrade
May 13, 2017 UFC Women's Strawweight Title Joanna Jedrzejczyk Jessica Andrade Joanna Jedrzejczyk
Feb. 4, 2017 Women's Strawweight Jessica Andrade Angela Hill Jessica Andrade
Sept. 10, 2016 Women's Strawweight Jessica Andrade Joanne Wood Jessica Andrade
June 4, 2016 Women's Strawweight Jessica Penne Jessica Andrade Jessica Andrade
Sept. 5, 2015 Women's Bantamweight Jessica Andrade Raquel Pennington Raquel Pennington
July 15, 2015 Women's Bantamweight Jessica Andrade Sarah Moras Jessica Andrade
Feb. 22, 2015 Women's Bantamweight Jessica Andrade Marion Reneau Marion Reneau
Sept. 13, 2014 Women's Bantamweight Jessica Andrade Larissa Pacheco Jessica Andrade
March 15, 2014 Women's Bantamweight Raquel Pennington Jessica Andrade Jessica Andrade
Oct. 26, 2013 Women's Bantamweight Rosi Sexton Jessica Andrade Jessica Andrade
July 27, 2013 Women's Bantamweight Liz Carmouche Jessica Andrade Liz Carmouche