Augusto Sakai vs. Don'Tale Mayes - UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Augusto Sakai by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: 77.00m
Weight Class: Heavyweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Augusto Sakai
9
10
12.6
-130
Don'Tale Mayes
+110

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Augusto Sakai Don'Tale Mayes
Main Stats
Age 31 31
Height 75" 78"
Reach 77" 81"
Win Percentage 75.00% 69.23%
Wins 16 9
Losses 5 5
Wins at Weight Class 4 2
Losses at Weight Class 4 3
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 52.95% 53.28%
Significant Striking Accuracy 48.52% 41.21%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.403 5.101
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.457 2.910
Knockdowns per Fight 0.177 0.000
Striking Impact Differential -4.75% -7.40%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -3.00% -12.40%
Striking Output Differential 2.50% 7.60%
Significant Striking Output Differential 6.00% 0.80%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 76.15% 65.17%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 87.00% 107.89%
Striking Defense Percentage 44.99% 44.86%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 0.177 1.608
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 0.532 2.298
Takedown Defense 200.00% 225.00%
Takedown Accuracy 33.33% 70.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.696 1.547
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 6.715 5.223
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.767 2.328
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.218 0.797
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.726 1.088
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.360 0.888
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.544 0.567
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.745 0.751
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.615 0.643
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 1.419 0.276
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.714 0.368
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.769 0.536
Augusto Sakai History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Aug. 6, 2022 Heavyweight Augusto Sakai Serghei Spivac Serghei Spivac
Dec. 11, 2021 Heavyweight Augusto Sakai Tai Tuivasa Tai Tuivasa
June 5, 2021 Heavyweight Jairzinho Rozenstruik Augusto Sakai Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Sept. 5, 2020 Heavyweight Alistair Overeem Augusto Sakai Alistair Overeem
May 30, 2020 Heavyweight Blagoy Ivanov Augusto Sakai Augusto Sakai
Sept. 14, 2019 Heavyweight Marcin Tybura Augusto Sakai Augusto Sakai
April 27, 2019 Heavyweight Andrei Arlovski Augusto Sakai Augusto Sakai
Sept. 22, 2018 Heavyweight Augusto Sakai Chase Sherman Augusto Sakai
Don'Tale Mayes History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
July 30, 2022 Heavyweight Don'Tale Mayes Hamdy Abdelwahab None
Dec. 18, 2021 Heavyweight Don'Tale Mayes Josh Parisian Don'Tale Mayes
Nov. 14, 2020 Heavyweight Don'Tale Mayes Roque Martinez Don'Tale Mayes
May 16, 2020 Heavyweight Rodrigo Nascimento Don'Tale Mayes Rodrigo Nascimento
Oct. 26, 2019 Heavyweight Ciryl Gane Don'Tale Mayes Ciryl Gane