Maria Oliveira vs. Gloria de Paula - UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Maria Oliveira by Decision - Split

Fight Info:
Location: Austin, Texas, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Women's Strawweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Maria Oliveira
14
+200
Gloria de Paula
19
3.6
-310

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Maria Oliveira Gloria de Paula
Main Stats
Age 25 27
Height 66" 65"
Reach 69" 67"
Win Percentage 70.59% 60.00%
Wins 13 6
Losses 5 5
Wins at Weight Class 0 1
Losses at Weight Class 1 2
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 43.48% 56.03%
Significant Striking Accuracy 37.08% 50.41%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.000 5.548
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.400 4.000
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 0.000
Striking Impact Differential -13.00% -4.33%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 4.00% 0.67%
Striking Output Differential 20.00% -43.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential 43.00% -33.67%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 93.33% 145.93%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 110.61% 181.45%
Striking Defense Percentage 54.07% 64.84%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 0.000 0.484
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 0.000 2.419
Takedown Defense 83.33% 150.00%
Takedown Accuracy 0.00% 20.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.267 3.000
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 8.533 6.839
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.800 2.065
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.200 0.774
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 2.200 0.871
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.800 1.000
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.933 0.226
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 1.133 0.226
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.533 0.871
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.267 0.677
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.267 0.742
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.333 0.290
Maria Oliveira History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Oct. 23, 2021 Women's Strawweight Tabatha Ricci Maria Oliveira Tabatha Ricci
Gloria de Paula History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Feb. 19, 2022 Women's Strawweight Diana Belbita Gloria de Paula Gloria de Paula
July 31, 2021 Women's Strawweight Cheyanne Vlismas Gloria de Paula Cheyanne Vlismas
March 13, 2021 Women's Strawweight Gloria de Paula Jinh Yu Frey Jinh Yu Frey