Joaquin Buckley vs. Albert Duraev - UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Joaquin Buckley by TKO - Doctor's Stoppage

Fight Info:
Location: Austin, Texas, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Middleweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Joaquin Buckley
+165
Albert Duraev
12
11
3.0
-235

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Joaquin Buckley Albert Duraev
Main Stats
Age 28 33
Height 70" 71"
Reach 76" 75"
Win Percentage 77.78% 83.33%
Wins 15 15
Losses 4 4
Wins at Weight Class 4 1
Losses at Weight Class 2 0
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 39.00% 57.36%
Significant Striking Accuracy 36.25% 50.71%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.456 10.133
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.942 4.733
Knockdowns per Fight 1.143 0.000
Striking Impact Differential -2.67% 98.00%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 0.50% 29.00%
Striking Output Differential 20.83% 154.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential 24.67% 47.00%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 96.15% 37.50%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 105.80% 71.83%
Striking Defense Percentage 51.77% 54.84%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 1.000
Takedowns per Fight 1.999 1.000
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 5.713 9.000
Takedown Defense 150.00% 100.00%
Takedown Accuracy 35.00% 11.11%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 1.942 3.600
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 7.750 7.867
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.228 2.000
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.504 0.400
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 2.552 0.533
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.990 0.467
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.495 0.733
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.571 0.933
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.667 0.333
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.362 0.000
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.495 0.000
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.229 0.133
Joaquin Buckley History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Feb. 19, 2022 Middleweight Joaquin Buckley Abdul Razak Alhassan Joaquin Buckley
Sept. 18, 2021 Middleweight Joaquin Buckley Antonio Arroyo Joaquin Buckley
Jan. 16, 2021 Middleweight Joaquin Buckley Alessio Di Chirico Alessio Di Chirico
Nov. 21, 2020 Middleweight Joaquin Buckley Jordan Wright Joaquin Buckley
Oct. 10, 2020 Middleweight Impa Kasanganay Joaquin Buckley Joaquin Buckley
Aug. 8, 2020 Middleweight Kevin Holland Joaquin Buckley Kevin Holland
Albert Duraev History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Oct. 30, 2021 Middleweight Albert Duraev Roman Kopylov Albert Duraev