TJ Brown vs. Charles Rosa - UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: TJ Brown by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Lightweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
TJ Brown
20
12
7.7
-250
Charles Rosa
+170

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat TJ Brown Charles Rosa
Main Stats
Age 31 35
Height 69" 69"
Reach 72" 69"
Win Percentage 65.22% 70.00%
Wins 16 14
Losses 8 7
Wins at Weight Class 0 1
Losses at Weight Class 0 0
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 50.19% 44.63%
Significant Striking Accuracy 39.55% 36.48%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.730 4.503
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.064 3.051
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 0.000
Striking Impact Differential 34.33% -9.64%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 10.67% -7.36%
Striking Output Differential 74.00% 16.27%
Significant Striking Output Differential 45.33% 18.00%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 53.46% 81.72%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 86.62% 112.94%
Striking Defense Percentage 52.11% 48.95%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.388 1.004
Takedowns per Fight 3.494 1.806
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 6.601 4.817
Takedown Defense 500.00% 141.18%
Takedown Accuracy 52.94% 37.50%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.718 1.773
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 8.180 6.383
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.915 2.502
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.958 0.442
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.475 0.863
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.621 0.622
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.388 0.836
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.621 1.117
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.699 0.468
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.466 0.107
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.570 0.207
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.104 0.308
TJ Brown History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
May 1, 2021 Featherweight Kai Kamaka TJ Brown TJ Brown
Aug. 15, 2020 Featherweight TJ Brown Danny Chavez Danny Chavez
Feb. 29, 2020 Featherweight Jordan Griffin TJ Brown Jordan Griffin
Charles Rosa History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Oct. 9, 2021 Featherweight Charles Rosa Damon Jackson Damon Jackson
June 26, 2021 Featherweight Charles Rosa Justin Jaynes Charles Rosa
Feb. 20, 2021 Featherweight Charles Rosa Darrick Minner Darrick Minner
June 13, 2020 Lightweight Charles Rosa Kevin Aguilar Charles Rosa
May 9, 2020 Featherweight Bryce Mitchell Charles Rosa Bryce Mitchell
Oct. 18, 2019 Featherweight Charles Rosa Manny Bermudez Charles Rosa
April 8, 2017 Featherweight Shane Burgos Charles Rosa Shane Burgos
Jan. 17, 2016 Featherweight Charles Rosa Kyle Bochniak Charles Rosa
June 13, 2015 Featherweight Yair Rodriguez Charles Rosa Yair Rodriguez
Jan. 18, 2015 Featherweight Charles Rosa Sean Soriano Charles Rosa
Oct. 4, 2014 Featherweight Dennis Siver Charles Rosa Dennis Siver