Brian Kelleher vs. Kevin Croom - UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Brian Kelleher by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Featherweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Brian Kelleher
29
14
-4.2
-500
Kevin Croom
+255

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Brian Kelleher Kevin Croom
Main Stats
Age 35 34
Height 66" 71"
Reach 66" 73"
Win Percentage 65.71% 61.76%
Wins 24 21
Losses 12 14
Wins at Weight Class 2 0
Losses at Weight Class 2 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 54.81% 42.47%
Significant Striking Accuracy 40.99% 36.84%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.925 1.998
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.629 1.353
Knockdowns per Fight 0.285 0.967
Striking Impact Differential 1.25% -34.00%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -9.58% -14.50%
Striking Output Differential -1.25% -26.50%
Significant Striking Output Differential -11.58% -8.00%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 86.56% 87.10%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 150.26% 109.52%
Striking Defense Percentage 53.59% 31.51%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.855 0.967
Takedowns per Fight 1.283 0.967
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 3.847 15.467
Takedown Defense 68.75% 100.00%
Takedown Accuracy 33.33% 6.25%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.403 0.773
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 6.849 2.965
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 3.097 2.256
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.513 0.129
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.102 0.258
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.017 0.709
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.713 0.451
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.903 0.451
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.608 0.258
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.247 0.129
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.342 0.322
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.475 0.773
Brian Kelleher History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Aug. 21, 2021 Bantamweight Brian Kelleher Domingo Pilarte Brian Kelleher
Feb. 13, 2021 Featherweight Ricky Simon Brian Kelleher Ricky Simon
Sept. 5, 2020 Featherweight Brian Kelleher Ray Rodriguez Brian Kelleher
June 6, 2020 Featherweight Cody Stamann Brian Kelleher Cody Stamann
May 13, 2020 Featherweight Hunter Azure Brian Kelleher Brian Kelleher
Jan. 18, 2020 Bantamweight Brian Kelleher Ode Osbourne Brian Kelleher
Dec. 29, 2018 Bantamweight Brian Kelleher Montel Jackson Montel Jackson
May 12, 2018 Bantamweight John Lineker Brian Kelleher John Lineker
Feb. 24, 2018 Bantamweight Renan Barao Brian Kelleher Brian Kelleher
Oct. 21, 2017 Bantamweight Damian Stasiak Brian Kelleher Brian Kelleher
July 22, 2017 Bantamweight Brian Kelleher Marlon Vera Marlon Vera
June 3, 2017 Bantamweight Iuri Alcantara Brian Kelleher Brian Kelleher
Kevin Croom History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Feb. 27, 2021 Featherweight Alex Caceres Kevin Croom Alex Caceres
Sept. 12, 2020 Lightweight Roosevelt Roberts Kevin Croom None