Brandon Royval vs. Rogerio Bontorin - UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Brandon Royval by Decision - Split

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Flyweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Brandon Royval
23
10
14.3
-185
Rogerio Bontorin
+130

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Brandon Royval Rogerio Bontorin
Main Stats
Age 29 29
Height 69" 65"
Reach 68" 67"
Win Percentage 66.67% 84.21%
Wins 13 16
Losses 6 4
Wins at Weight Class 2 2
Losses at Weight Class 2 2
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 46.44% 61.35%
Significant Striking Accuracy 41.01% 53.36%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.797 3.784
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.443 2.554
Knockdowns per Fight 1.161 0.000
Striking Impact Differential -3.50% -13.40%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 3.00% -7.80%
Striking Output Differential 14.75% -18.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential 18.25% -12.40%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 56.45% 74.50%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 75.28% 104.44%
Striking Defense Percentage 46.53% 44.76%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 1.741 1.135
Takedowns per Fight 1.161 1.419
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 1.161 3.406
Takedown Defense 90.00% 107.69%
Takedown Accuracy 100.00% 41.67%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.128 1.854
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 6.693 3.936
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.818 1.987
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.735 0.397
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.006 0.492
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.387 1.097
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.580 0.303
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.696 0.360
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.774 0.208
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.193 0.284
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.271 0.341
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.193 0.681
Brandon Royval History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Aug. 21, 2021 Flyweight Alexandre Pantoja Brandon Royval Alexandre Pantoja
Nov. 21, 2020 Flyweight Brandon Moreno Brandon Royval Brandon Moreno
Sept. 26, 2020 Flyweight Kai Kara-France Brandon Royval Brandon Royval
May 30, 2020 Flyweight Tim Elliott Brandon Royval Brandon Royval
Rogerio Bontorin History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
May 15, 2021 Bantamweight Matt Schnell Rogerio Bontorin None
March 6, 2021 Flyweight Rogerio Bontorin Kai Kara-France Kai Kara-France
Feb. 15, 2020 Flyweight Rogerio Bontorin Ray Borg Ray Borg
Aug. 10, 2019 Flyweight Rogerio Bontorin Raulian Paiva Rogerio Bontorin
Feb. 2, 2019 Flyweight Bibulatov Magomed Rogerio Bontorin Rogerio Bontorin