Calvin Kattar vs. Arnold Allen - UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Arnold Allen by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Featherweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Calvin Kattar
15
12
23.0
-109
Arnold Allen
-135

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Calvin Kattar Arnold Allen
Main Stats
Age 34 28
Height 71" 68"
Reach 72" 70"
Win Percentage 79.31% 94.74%
Wins 23 19
Losses 7 1
Wins at Weight Class 7 9
Losses at Weight Class 4 0
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 41.80% 46.56%
Significant Striking Accuracy 39.97% 42.20%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.628 4.046
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.191 3.310
Knockdowns per Fight 0.437 0.385
Striking Impact Differential -25.09% 2.44%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -30.55% 14.11%
Striking Output Differential -36.27% -1.33%
Significant Striking Output Differential -42.18% 15.22%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 151.97% 121.99%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 164.53% 134.37%
Striking Defense Percentage 54.44% 66.67%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.087 0.385
Takedowns per Fight 0.437 1.411
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 1.486 2.823
Takedown Defense 9.52% 30.77%
Takedown Accuracy 29.41% 50.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 4.079 2.489
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 11.426 6.671
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 4.201 1.274
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.676 0.582
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.060 0.795
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.631 0.445
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.437 0.240
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.501 0.376
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 1.317 0.505
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.070 0.154
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.128 0.368
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.111 0.342
Calvin Kattar History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
June 18, 2022 Featherweight Calvin Kattar Josh Emmett Josh Emmett
Jan. 15, 2022 Featherweight Calvin Kattar Giga Chikadze Calvin Kattar
Jan. 16, 2021 Featherweight Max Holloway Calvin Kattar Max Holloway
July 15, 2020 Featherweight Calvin Kattar Dan Ige Calvin Kattar
May 9, 2020 Featherweight Jeremy Stephens Calvin Kattar Calvin Kattar
Nov. 9, 2019 Featherweight Zabit Magomedsharipov Calvin Kattar Zabit Magomedsharipov
June 8, 2019 Featherweight Ricardo Lamas Calvin Kattar Calvin Kattar
Oct. 27, 2018 Featherweight Calvin Kattar Chris Fishgold Calvin Kattar
April 7, 2018 Featherweight Renato Moicano Calvin Kattar Renato Moicano
Jan. 20, 2018 Featherweight Calvin Kattar Shane Burgos Calvin Kattar
July 29, 2017 Featherweight Andre Fili Calvin Kattar Calvin Kattar
Arnold Allen History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
March 19, 2022 Featherweight Arnold Allen Dan Hooker Arnold Allen
April 10, 2021 Featherweight Arnold Allen Sodiq Yusuff Arnold Allen
Jan. 25, 2020 Featherweight Arnold Allen Nik Lentz Arnold Allen
July 6, 2019 Featherweight Gilbert Melendez Arnold Allen Arnold Allen
March 16, 2019 Featherweight Arnold Allen Jordan Rinaldi Arnold Allen
May 27, 2018 Featherweight Arnold Allen Mads Burnell Arnold Allen
March 18, 2017 Featherweight Arnold Allen Makwan Amirkhani Arnold Allen
Feb. 27, 2016 Featherweight Arnold Allen Yaotzin Meza Arnold Allen
June 20, 2015 Featherweight Alan Omer Arnold Allen Arnold Allen