The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Andrei Arlovski | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 43 | 37 | 34 | |
| Height | 75" | 73" | 75" | |
| Reach | 77" | 75" | 77" | |
| Win Percentage | 62.96% | 67.86% | 76.81% | |
| Wins | 34 | 20 | ||
| Losses | 21 | 9 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 20 | 5 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 13 | 3 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 49.13% | 67.62% | 54.97% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 44.99% | 55.76% | 49.50% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.656 | 7.744 | 5.849 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.858 | 3.481 | 4.471 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.406 | 0.946 | 0.708 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | 1.58% | 25.07% | 3.52% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | 5.66% | 9.71% | 4.31% | |
| Striking Output Differential | 5.11% | 32.14% | 7.80% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | 9.92% | 12.86% | 8.61% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 95.76% | 31.76% | 78.51% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 110.93% | 63.41% | 102.65% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 56.64% | 55.56% | 50.55% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 0.203 | 0.568 | 0.344 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 0.365 | 1.324 | 1.201 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 1.014 | 2.649 | 2.405 | |
| Takedown Defense | 29.09% | 54.55% | 99.32% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 36.00% | 50.00% | 28.52% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.209 | 2.220 | 2.891 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 6.395 | 4.591 | 7.031 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 2.131 | 1.337 | 2.623 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.763 | 0.643 | 0.815 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.057 | 0.870 | 1.064 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.549 | 0.315 | 0.727 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.887 | 0.618 | 0.765 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 1.125 | 0.782 | 0.889 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.598 | 0.114 | 0.640 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.462 | 0.429 | 0.598 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.698 | 0.580 | 0.822 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.422 | 0.315 | 0.449 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 30, 2022 | Heavyweight | Andrei Arlovski | Jake Collier | Andrei Arlovski | |
| Feb. 12, 2022 | Heavyweight | Andrei Arlovski | Jared Vanderaa | Andrei Arlovski | |
| Oct. 16, 2021 | Heavyweight | Andrei Arlovski | Carlos Felipe | Andrei Arlovski | |
| April 17, 2021 | Heavyweight | Andrei Arlovski | Chase Sherman | Andrei Arlovski | |
| Feb. 20, 2021 | Heavyweight | Andrei Arlovski | Tom Aspinall | Tom Aspinall | |
| Nov. 7, 2020 | Heavyweight | Andrei Arlovski | Tanner Boser | Andrei Arlovski | |
| May 13, 2020 | Heavyweight | Andrei Arlovski | Philipe Lins | Andrei Arlovski | |
| Nov. 2, 2019 | Heavyweight | Andrei Arlovski | Jairzinho Rozenstruik | Jairzinho Rozenstruik | |
| July 20, 2019 | Heavyweight | Andrei Arlovski | Ben Rothwell | Andrei Arlovski | |
| April 27, 2019 | Heavyweight | Andrei Arlovski | Augusto Sakai | Augusto Sakai | |
| Dec. 29, 2018 | Heavyweight | Andrei Arlovski | Walt Harris | None | |
| Sept. 15, 2018 | Heavyweight | Andrei Arlovski | Shamil Abdurakhimov | Shamil Abdurakhimov | |
| June 9, 2018 | Heavyweight | Andrei Arlovski | Tai Tuivasa | Tai Tuivasa | |
| March 3, 2018 | Heavyweight | Stefan Struve | Andrei Arlovski | Andrei Arlovski | |
| Nov. 11, 2017 | Heavyweight | Junior Albini | Andrei Arlovski | Andrei Arlovski | |
| June 17, 2017 | Heavyweight | Andrei Arlovski | Marcin Tybura | Marcin Tybura | |
| Jan. 28, 2017 | Heavyweight | Andrei Arlovski | Francis Ngannou | Francis Ngannou | |
| Sept. 3, 2016 | Heavyweight | Andrei Arlovski | Josh Barnett | Josh Barnett | |
| May 8, 2016 | Heavyweight | Alistair Overeem | Andrei Arlovski | Alistair Overeem | |
| Jan. 2, 2016 | Heavyweight | Stipe Miocic | Andrei Arlovski | Stipe Miocic | |
| Sept. 5, 2015 | Heavyweight | Andrei Arlovski | Frank Mir | Andrei Arlovski | |
| May 23, 2015 | Heavyweight | Travis Browne | Andrei Arlovski | Andrei Arlovski | |
| Sept. 13, 2014 | Heavyweight | Antonio Silva | Andrei Arlovski | Andrei Arlovski | |
| June 14, 2014 | Heavyweight | Andrei Arlovski | Brendan Schaub | Andrei Arlovski | |
| March 1, 2008 | Heavyweight | Andrei Arlovski | Jake O'Brien | Andrei Arlovski | |
| April 21, 2007 | Heavyweight | Andrei Arlovski | Fabricio Werdum | Andrei Arlovski | |
| Dec. 30, 2006 | Heavyweight | Andrei Arlovski | Marcio Cruz | Andrei Arlovski | |
| July 8, 2006 | UFC Heavyweight Title | Tim Sylvia | Andrei Arlovski | Tim Sylvia | |
| April 15, 2006 | UFC Heavyweight Title | Tim Sylvia | Andrei Arlovski | Tim Sylvia | |
| Oct. 7, 2005 | UFC Heavyweight Title | Andrei Arlovski | Paul Buentello | Andrei Arlovski | |
| June 4, 2005 | UFC Interim Heavyweight Title | Andrei Arlovski | Justin Eilers | Andrei Arlovski | |
| Feb. 5, 2005 | UFC Interim Heavyweight Title | Andrei Arlovski | Tim Sylvia | Andrei Arlovski | |
| April 2, 2004 | Heavyweight | Andrei Arlovski | Wesley Correira | Andrei Arlovski | |
| Sept. 26, 2003 | Heavyweight | Andrei Arlovski | Vladimir Matyushenko | Andrei Arlovski | |
| Nov. 22, 2002 | Heavyweight | Andrei Arlovski | Ian Freeman | Andrei Arlovski | |
| March 22, 2002 | Heavyweight | Pedro Rizzo | Andrei Arlovski | Pedro Rizzo | |
| June 29, 2001 | Heavyweight | Ricco Rodriguez | Andrei Arlovski | Ricco Rodriguez | |
| Nov. 17, 2000 | Heavyweight | Andrei Arlovski | Aaron Brink | Andrei Arlovski |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2022 | Heavyweight | Blagoy Ivanov | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | Blagoy Ivanov | |
| Nov. 13, 2021 | Heavyweight | Ben Rothwell | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | |
| May 8, 2021 | Heavyweight | Maurice Greene | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | |
| Nov. 7, 2020 | Heavyweight | Alexandr Romanov | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | Alexandr Romanov | |
| Feb. 22, 2020 | Heavyweight | Ben Sosoli | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | |
| Feb. 23, 2019 | Heavyweight | Stefan Struve | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | Stefan Struve | |
| Nov. 3, 2018 | Heavyweight | Adam Wieczorek | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | |
| April 22, 2017 | Light Heavyweight | Ovince Saint Preux | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | Ovince Saint Preux | |
| Jan. 28, 2017 | Light Heavyweight | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | Jeremy Kimball | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | |
| Nov. 19, 2016 | Light Heavyweight | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | Gadzhimurad Antigulov | Gadzhimurad Antigulov | |
| April 23, 2016 | Light Heavyweight | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | Clint Hester | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | |
| Aug. 23, 2015 | Light Heavyweight | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | Nikita Krylov | Nikita Krylov | |
| Dec. 20, 2014 | Light Heavyweight | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | Igor Pokrajac | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | |
| May 31, 2014 | Heavyweight | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | Richardson Moreira | Marcos Rogerio de Lima |