Jonathan Martinez vs. Vince Morales - UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Jonathan Martinez by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Bantamweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Jonathan Martinez
26
12
5.5
-280
Vince Morales
+190

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Jonathan Martinez Vince Morales
Main Stats
Age 28 31
Height 68" 69"
Reach 70" 70"
Win Percentage 78.95% 68.75%
Wins 16 16
Losses 4 6
Wins at Weight Class 4 3
Losses at Weight Class 3 2
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 48.96% 39.23%
Significant Striking Accuracy 47.15% 37.84%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.004 4.589
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.581 4.309
Knockdowns per Fight 0.610 0.420
Striking Impact Differential 10.89% 2.67%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 10.44% 1.50%
Striking Output Differential 5.44% 26.33%
Significant Striking Output Differential 4.33% 25.17%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 112.20% 111.59%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 121.85% 118.18%
Striking Defense Percentage 59.39% 54.90%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 0.366 0.210
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 0.976 0.839
Takedown Defense 36.84% 100.00%
Takedown Accuracy 37.50% 25.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.710 2.728
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 7.079 9.023
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.619 2.028
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.155 1.133
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.725 1.749
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.367 0.658
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.716 0.448
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.911 0.616
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.830 1.497
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.260 0.280
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.309 0.462
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.586 0.168
Jonathan Martinez History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Feb. 26, 2022 Featherweight Alejandro Perez Jonathan Martinez Jonathan Martinez
Oct. 23, 2021 Bantamweight Jonathan Martinez Zviad Lazishvili Jonathan Martinez
March 13, 2021 Bantamweight Jonathan Martinez Davey Grant Davey Grant
Oct. 17, 2020 Featherweight Thomas Almeida Jonathan Martinez Jonathan Martinez
Aug. 1, 2020 Bantamweight Frankie Saenz Jonathan Martinez Jonathan Martinez
Feb. 8, 2020 Bantamweight Andre Ewell Jonathan Martinez Andre Ewell
July 13, 2019 Bantamweight Pingyuan Liu Jonathan Martinez Jonathan Martinez
Feb. 9, 2019 Bantamweight Wulijiburen Jonathan Martinez Jonathan Martinez
Oct. 27, 2018 Bantamweight Andre Soukhamthath Jonathan Martinez Andre Soukhamthath
Vince Morales History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Dec. 4, 2021 Bantamweight Louis Smolka Vince Morales Vince Morales
Aug. 7, 2021 Bantamweight Vince Morales Drako Rodriguez Vince Morales
May 30, 2020 Featherweight Chris Gutierrez Vince Morales Chris Gutierrez
July 13, 2019 Bantamweight Benito Lopez Vince Morales Benito Lopez
May 4, 2019 Bantamweight Aiemann Zahabi Vince Morales Vince Morales
Nov. 24, 2018 Bantamweight Song Yadong Vince Morales Song Yadong