Holly Holm vs. Ketlen Vieira - UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Ketlen Vieira by Decision - Split

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Women's Bantamweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Holly Holm
16
16
4.7
-250
Ketlen Vieira
+180

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Holly Holm Ketlen Vieira
Main Stats
Age 40 30
Height 68" 68"
Reach 69" 68"
Win Percentage 73.68% 85.71%
Wins 14 13
Losses 5 2
Wins at Weight Class 5 6
Losses at Weight Class 1 2
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 45.44% 49.13%
Significant Striking Accuracy 38.03% 38.46%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.478 5.179
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.164 3.067
Knockdowns per Fight 0.147 0.000
Striking Impact Differential 10.08% -24.13%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 6.25% -14.25%
Striking Output Differential 34.58% -21.25%
Significant Striking Output Differential 28.50% -12.88%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 88.00% 99.66%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 121.76% 156.86%
Striking Defense Percentage 57.93% 54.20%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.073 0.394
Takedowns per Fight 0.806 1.709
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 2.637 3.680
Takedown Defense 30.00% 11.11%
Takedown Accuracy 30.56% 46.43%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 1.523 2.603
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 5.820 7.414
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.401 1.840
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.942 0.342
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.470 0.429
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.772 1.481
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.698 0.123
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 1.030 0.131
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.625 0.745
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.313 0.438
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.405 0.561
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.527 0.789
Holly Holm History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Oct. 3, 2020 Women's Bantamweight Holly Holm Irene Aldana Holly Holm
Jan. 18, 2020 Women's Bantamweight Holly Holm Raquel Pennington Holly Holm
July 6, 2019 UFC Women's Bantamweight Title Amanda Nunes Holly Holm Amanda Nunes
June 9, 2018 Women's Featherweight Holly Holm Megan Anderson Holly Holm
Dec. 30, 2017 UFC Women's Featherweight Title Cristiane Justino Holly Holm Cristiane Justino
June 17, 2017 Women's Bantamweight Holly Holm Bethe Correia Holly Holm
Feb. 11, 2017 UFC Women's Featherweight Title Holly Holm Germaine de Randamie Germaine de Randamie
July 23, 2016 Women's Bantamweight Holly Holm Valentina Shevchenko Valentina Shevchenko
March 5, 2016 UFC Women's Bantamweight Title Holly Holm Miesha Tate Miesha Tate
Nov. 14, 2015 UFC Women's Bantamweight Title Ronda Rousey Holly Holm Holly Holm
July 15, 2015 Women's Bantamweight Holly Holm Marion Reneau Holly Holm
Feb. 28, 2015 Women's Bantamweight Raquel Pennington Holly Holm Holly Holm
Ketlen Vieira History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Nov. 20, 2021 Women's Bantamweight Ketlen Vieira Miesha Tate Ketlen Vieira
Feb. 20, 2021 Women's Bantamweight Ketlen Vieira Yana Santos Yana Santos
Sept. 26, 2020 Women's Bantamweight Ketlen Vieira Sijara Eubanks Ketlen Vieira
Dec. 14, 2019 Women's Bantamweight Ketlen Vieira Irene Aldana Irene Aldana
March 3, 2018 Women's Bantamweight Cat Zingano Ketlen Vieira Ketlen Vieira
Sept. 9, 2017 Women's Bantamweight Sara McMann Ketlen Vieira Ketlen Vieira
April 15, 2017 Women's Bantamweight Ashlee Evans-Smith Ketlen Vieira Ketlen Vieira
Oct. 1, 2016 Women's Bantamweight Kelly Faszholz Ketlen Vieira Ketlen Vieira