Evan Elder vs. Genaro Valdez - UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Evan Elder by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: 777.00m
Weight Class: Lightweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Evan Elder
22
23
19
3.3
-315
Genaro Valdez
+240

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Evan Elder Genaro Valdez
Main Stats
Age 26 31
Height 70" 69"
Reach 72" 72"
Win Percentage 77.78% 83.33%
Wins 8 10
Losses 2 3
Wins at Weight Class 0 0
Losses at Weight Class 1 2
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 52.44% 34.12%
Significant Striking Accuracy 48.02% 30.10%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.603 3.945
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.784 3.233
Knockdowns per Fight 0.585 0.000
Striking Impact Differential -37.00% -34.00%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -21.00% -34.00%
Striking Output Differential -38.00% -20.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential -21.00% -20.00%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 92.37% 154.17%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 108.25% 184.75%
Striking Defense Percentage 43.03% 46.19%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 0.585 0.000
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 4.681 0.822
Takedown Defense 250.00% 150.00%
Takedown Accuracy 12.50% 0.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 1.443 1.918
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 5.072 8.603
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 3.823 4.274
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.834 0.548
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 2.263 1.206
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.092 1.534
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.507 0.767
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.546 0.932
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.507 1.151
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.429 0.438
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.546 0.986
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.663 0.384
Evan Elder History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Feb. 18, 2023 Lightweight Nazim Sadykhov Evan Elder Nazim Sadykhov
April 23, 2022 Welterweight Preston Parsons Evan Elder Preston Parsons
Genaro Valdez History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Dec. 3, 2022 Lightweight Natan Levy Genaro Valdez Natan Levy
Jan. 22, 2022 Lightweight Matt Frevola Genaro Valdez Matt Frevola