Ashlee Evans-Smith vs. Ailin Perez - UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Ailin Perez by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: 777.00m
Weight Class: Women's Bantamweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Ashlee Evans-Smith
+176
Ailin Perez
9
1
13
0.9
-215

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Ashlee Evans-Smith Ailin Perez
Main Stats
Age 36 28
Height 68" 65"
Reach 67" 66"
Win Percentage 54.55% 77.78%
Wins 6 8
Losses 6 2
Wins at Weight Class 2 0
Losses at Weight Class 4 0
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 38.96% 67.21%
Significant Striking Accuracy 34.39% 47.06%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.649 4.141
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.540 1.616
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 0.000
Striking Impact Differential 3.13% -6.00%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -1.75% 1.00%
Striking Output Differential 39.25% -3.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential 33.13% 12.00%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 103.15% 41.46%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 126.50% 43.75%
Striking Defense Percentage 55.07% 31.82%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 1.098 1.515
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 4.707 4.546
Takedown Defense 50.00% 40.00%
Takedown Accuracy 23.33% 33.33%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.333 0.707
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 9.969 2.020
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.814 0.909
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.391 0.909
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 2.197 1.212
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.921 0.303
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.816 0.000
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 1.036 0.202
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.952 0.303
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.973 0.606
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.329 0.606
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.670 0.303
Ashlee Evans-Smith History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Nov. 28, 2020 Women's Bantamweight Ashlee Evans-Smith Norma Dumont Norma Dumont
Feb. 17, 2019 Women's Flyweight Ashlee Evans-Smith Andrea Lee Andrea Lee
April 7, 2018 Women's Flyweight Bec Rawlings Ashlee Evans-Smith Ashlee Evans-Smith
Sept. 9, 2017 Women's Bantamweight Sarah Moras Ashlee Evans-Smith Sarah Moras
April 15, 2017 Women's Bantamweight Ashlee Evans-Smith Ketlen Vieira Ketlen Vieira
Sept. 3, 2016 Women's Bantamweight Ashlee Evans-Smith Veronica Hardy Ashlee Evans-Smith
Feb. 21, 2016 Women's Bantamweight Marion Reneau Ashlee Evans-Smith Ashlee Evans-Smith
Dec. 6, 2014 Women's Bantamweight Raquel Pennington Ashlee Evans-Smith Raquel Pennington
Ailin Perez History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Sept. 3, 2022 Women's Featherweight Stephanie Egger Ailin Perez Stephanie Egger