The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Sam Alvey | Brendan Allen | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 35 | 26 | 32 | |
| Height | 74" | 74" | 74" | |
| Reach | 75" | 75" | 76" | |
| Win Percentage | 67.35% | 77.27% | 80.32% | |
| Wins | 33 | 18 | ||
| Losses | 17 | 5 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 2 | 0 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 5 | 0 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 51.86% | 57.76% | 55.44% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 44.71% | 53.07% | 49.70% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.461 | 5.596 | 5.125 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.294 | 4.334 | 3.818 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.473 | 0.243 | 0.751 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | 0.05% | -5.57% | 0.16% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | -2.27% | -2.71% | 3.00% | |
| Striking Output Differential | 0.09% | -4.86% | 3.75% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | -2.27% | -1.43% | 6.79% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 92.73% | 71.68% | 79.68% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 123.67% | 85.07% | 99.02% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 53.65% | 44.27% | 49.24% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 0.068 | 1.456 | 0.433 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 0.068 | 0.970 | 1.265 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 0.406 | 2.426 | 3.122 | |
| Takedown Defense | 22.22% | 166.67% | 79.71% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 16.67% | 40.00% | 28.25% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.208 | 2.588 | 2.512 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 5.988 | 6.162 | 6.110 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 1.942 | 3.590 | 2.193 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.505 | 1.164 | 0.791 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.680 | 1.375 | 1.072 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.694 | 0.825 | 0.715 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.581 | 0.582 | 0.515 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.698 | 0.631 | 0.622 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.883 | 0.226 | 0.589 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.685 | 0.324 | 0.633 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.933 | 0.469 | 0.822 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.401 | 0.372 | 0.642 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 28, 2021 | Middleweight | Sam Alvey | Wellington Turman | Wellington Turman | |
| April 10, 2021 | Middleweight | Sam Alvey | Julian Marquez | Julian Marquez | |
| Oct. 24, 2020 | Light Heavyweight | Da Woon Jung | Sam Alvey | None | |
| May 9, 2020 | Light Heavyweight | Ryan Spann | Sam Alvey | Ryan Spann | |
| July 20, 2019 | Light Heavyweight | Sam Alvey | Klidson Abreu | Klidson Abreu | |
| Feb. 9, 2019 | Light Heavyweight | Jimmy Crute | Sam Alvey | Jimmy Crute | |
| Sept. 22, 2018 | Light Heavyweight | Sam Alvey | Rogerio Nogueira | Rogerio Nogueira | |
| June 1, 2018 | Light Heavyweight | Gian Villante | Sam Alvey | Sam Alvey | |
| Feb. 24, 2018 | Light Heavyweight | Sam Alvey | Marcin Prachnio | Sam Alvey | |
| Oct. 21, 2017 | Middleweight | Sam Alvey | Ramazan Emeev | Ramazan Emeev | |
| Aug. 5, 2017 | Middleweight | Sam Alvey | Rashad Evans | Sam Alvey | |
| April 22, 2017 | Middleweight | Thales Leites | Sam Alvey | Thales Leites | |
| Jan. 28, 2017 | Middleweight | Nate Marquardt | Sam Alvey | Sam Alvey | |
| Nov. 5, 2016 | Middleweight | Sam Alvey | Alex Nicholson | Sam Alvey | |
| Aug. 27, 2016 | Middleweight | Sam Alvey | Kevin Casey | Sam Alvey | |
| July 13, 2016 | Middleweight | Eric Spicely | Sam Alvey | Sam Alvey | |
| June 18, 2016 | Middleweight | Elias Theodorou | Sam Alvey | Elias Theodorou | |
| Aug. 8, 2015 | Middleweight | Derek Brunson | Sam Alvey | Derek Brunson | |
| May 9, 2015 | Middleweight | Daniel Kelly | Sam Alvey | Sam Alvey | |
| Feb. 22, 2015 | Middleweight | Cezar Ferreira | Sam Alvey | Sam Alvey | |
| Nov. 7, 2014 | Middleweight | Dylan Andrews | Sam Alvey | Sam Alvey | |
| Aug. 16, 2014 | Middleweight | Tom Watson | Sam Alvey | Tom Watson |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec. 4, 2021 | Middleweight | Brendan Allen | Chris Curtis | Chris Curtis | |
| July 24, 2021 | Middleweight | Punahele Soriano | Brendan Allen | Brendan Allen | |
| April 24, 2021 | Middleweight | Karl Roberson | Brendan Allen | Brendan Allen | |
| Nov. 14, 2020 | Catch Weight | Brendan Allen | Sean Strickland | Sean Strickland | |
| June 27, 2020 | Middleweight | Brendan Allen | Kyle Daukaus | Brendan Allen | |
| Feb. 29, 2020 | Middleweight | Brendan Allen | Tom Breese | Brendan Allen | |
| Oct. 18, 2019 | Middleweight | Brendan Allen | Kevin Holland | Brendan Allen |