Miles Johns vs. John Castaneda - UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: John Castaneda by Submission

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Bantamweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Miles Johns
18
-250
John Castaneda
22
38.4
+145

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Miles Johns John Castaneda
Main Stats
Age 27 30
Height 67" 66"
Reach 66" 71"
Win Percentage 92.31% 78.26%
Wins 12 19
Losses 1 5
Wins at Weight Class 3 1
Losses at Weight Class 1 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 55.79% 55.00%
Significant Striking Accuracy 51.81% 51.87%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.629 5.574
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.756 4.916
Knockdowns per Fight 0.655 0.760
Striking Impact Differential 24.25% -21.50%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 19.50% -25.50%
Striking Output Differential -17.25% -53.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential -23.25% -55.50%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 157.55% 139.09%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 192.44% 154.64%
Striking Defense Percentage 77.88% 50.34%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 0.328 0.000
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 2.948 0.760
Takedown Defense 9.09% 100.00%
Takedown Accuracy 11.11% 0.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.904 2.939
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 6.245 7.196
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.507 3.497
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.349 0.507
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.480 0.710
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.393 0.862
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.502 1.470
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.524 1.571
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.153 3.142
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.240 0.203
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.306 0.203
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.109 0.405
Miles Johns History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Aug. 7, 2021 Bantamweight Miles Johns Anderson Dos Santos Miles Johns
Oct. 31, 2020 Bantamweight Miles Johns Kevin Natividad Miles Johns
Feb. 8, 2020 Bantamweight Miles Johns Mario Bautista Mario Bautista
Sept. 14, 2019 Bantamweight Cole Smith Miles Johns Miles Johns
John Castaneda History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Feb. 20, 2021 Bantamweight Eddie Wineland John Castaneda John Castaneda
July 25, 2020 Bantamweight Nathaniel Wood John Castaneda Nathaniel Wood