Julian Erosa vs. Steven Peterson - UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Julian Erosa by Decision - Split

Fight Info:

Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Elevation: m

Weight Class: Featherweight

Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.

Predictions

W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value

Fighter

Confidence

Dec

Sub

TKO

Odds

Julian Erosa

1.4

22.22%|2

55.56%|5

-350

Steven Peterson

83.33%|5

0.0%|0

16.67%|1

+225

Weighted Scoring Report

Basic Prediction

This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat	Julian Erosa	Steven Peterson	Weight Class Average
Main Stats
Age	32	31	31
Height	73"	70"	69"
Reach	74"	70"	71"
Win Percentage	72.22%	67.86%	80.54%
Wins	27	19
Losses	10	10
Wins at Weight Class	1	3
Losses at Weight Class	4	3
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy	50.99%	45.13%	52.19%
Significant Striking Accuracy	46.60%	36.93%	45.78%
Strikes Landed Per Minute	6.430	6.085	5.439
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute	5.290	4.245	3.926
Knockdowns per Fight	0.196	0.184	0.638
Striking Impact Differential	-8.78%	-10.50%	3.48%
Significant Striking Impact Differential	-3.56%	-14.67%	2.48%
Striking Output Differential	-10.67%	-5.33%	5.25%
Significant Striking Output Differential	-3.89%	-9.67%	3.91%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio	99.59%	115.32%	101.15%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio	115.35%	162.14%	126.98%
Striking Defense Percentage	51.66%	56.38%	54.52%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight	0.982	0.736	0.884
Takedowns per Fight	1.571	1.840	1.665
Takedowns Attempted per Fight	2.946	4.968	4.042
Takedown Defense	71.43%	42.86%	78.96%
Takedown Accuracy	53.33%	37.04%	40.53%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute	3.130	2.772	2.524
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute	8.407	9.471	6.557
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute	4.374	3.827	2.373
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute	1.532	0.896	0.866
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute	2.226	1.362	1.286
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute	0.707	1.092	0.826
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute	0.629	0.577	0.536
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute	0.720	0.662	0.677
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute	0.629	0.405	0.531
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute	1.035	0.429	0.453
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute	1.467	0.662	0.619
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute	0.616	0.393	0.471

Julian Erosa History:

Date	Weight	Red Corner	Blue Corner	Winner
Sept. 4, 2021	Catch Weight	Julian Erosa	Charles Jourdain	Julian Erosa
June 19, 2021	Featherweight	Julian Erosa	SeungWoo Choi	SeungWoo Choi
Feb. 20, 2021	Featherweight	Nate Landwehr	Julian Erosa	Julian Erosa
June 27, 2020	Catch Weight	Sean Woodson	Julian Erosa	Julian Erosa
May 18, 2019	Featherweight	Julio Arce	Julian Erosa	Julio Arce
March 9, 2019	Featherweight	Grant Dawson	Julian Erosa	Grant Dawson
Nov. 10, 2018	Lightweight	Devonte Smith	Julian Erosa	Devonte Smith
March 5, 2016	Featherweight	Julian Erosa	Teruto Ishihara	Teruto Ishihara
Dec. 11, 2015	Lightweight	Julian Erosa	Marcin Wrzosek	Julian Erosa

Steven Peterson History:

Date	Weight	Red Corner	Blue Corner	Winner
June 12, 2021	Featherweight	Chase Hooper	Steven Peterson	Steven Peterson
Sept. 21, 2019	Featherweight	Martin Bravo	Steven Peterson	Steven Peterson
July 20, 2019	Featherweight	Alex Caceres	Steven Peterson	Alex Caceres
March 23, 2019	Featherweight	Luis Pena	Steven Peterson	Luis Pena
July 6, 2018	Featherweight	Matt Bessette	Steven Peterson	Steven Peterson
Feb. 18, 2018	Featherweight	Steven Peterson	Brandon Davis	Brandon Davis