Jack Hermansson vs. Sean Strickland - UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Sean Strickland by Decision - Split

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Middleweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Jack Hermansson
+180
Sean Strickland
11
15
-1.3
-250

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Jack Hermansson Sean Strickland
Main Stats
Age 33 30
Height 73" 73"
Reach 77" 76"
Win Percentage 78.57% 88.89%
Wins 22 25
Losses 7 3
Wins at Weight Class 9 5
Losses at Weight Class 4 0
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 54.62% 42.82%
Significant Striking Accuracy 45.52% 40.08%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 7.311 6.219
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.863 5.452
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 0.329
Striking Impact Differential 29.69% 23.79%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 14.08% 22.43%
Striking Output Differential 48.15% 33.21%
Significant Striking Output Differential 30.77% 31.36%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 56.22% 121.87%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 83.16% 136.92%
Striking Defense Percentage 54.59% 66.68%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.614 0.329
Takedowns per Fight 2.088 1.316
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 5.772 2.139
Takedown Defense 33.33% 21.88%
Takedown Accuracy 36.17% 61.54%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 3.258 4.618
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 8.547 12.439
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.472 1.837
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.704 0.466
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.958 0.680
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.688 1.048
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.901 0.368
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 1.179 0.483
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.205 0.845
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.516 0.285
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.680 0.455
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.311 0.121
Jack Hermansson History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
May 22, 2021 Middleweight Jack Hermansson Edmen Shahbazyan Jack Hermansson
Dec. 5, 2020 Middleweight Jack Hermansson Marvin Vettori Marvin Vettori
July 18, 2020 Middleweight Jack Hermansson Kelvin Gastelum Jack Hermansson
Sept. 28, 2019 Middleweight Jack Hermansson Jared Cannonier Jared Cannonier
April 27, 2019 Middleweight Jacare Souza Jack Hermansson Jack Hermansson
March 30, 2019 Middleweight David Branch Jack Hermansson Jack Hermansson
Dec. 15, 2018 Middleweight Gerald Meerschaert Jack Hermansson Jack Hermansson
May 12, 2018 Middleweight Thales Leites Jack Hermansson Jack Hermansson
Oct. 28, 2017 Middleweight Thiago Santos Jack Hermansson Thiago Santos
Aug. 5, 2017 Middleweight Brad Scott Jack Hermansson Jack Hermansson
May 28, 2017 Middleweight Jack Hermansson Alex Nicholson Jack Hermansson
Nov. 19, 2016 Middleweight Cezar Ferreira Jack Hermansson Cezar Ferreira
Sept. 3, 2016 Middleweight Scott Askham Jack Hermansson Jack Hermansson
Sean Strickland History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
July 31, 2021 Middleweight Uriah Hall Sean Strickland Sean Strickland
May 1, 2021 Middleweight Sean Strickland Krzysztof Jotko Sean Strickland
Nov. 14, 2020 Catch Weight Brendan Allen Sean Strickland Sean Strickland
Oct. 31, 2020 Middleweight Sean Strickland Jack Marshman Sean Strickland
Oct. 27, 2018 Welterweight Nordine Taleb Sean Strickland Sean Strickland
May 12, 2018 Welterweight Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos Sean Strickland Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Nov. 11, 2017 Welterweight Court McGee Sean Strickland Sean Strickland
April 8, 2017 Welterweight Kamaru Usman Sean Strickland Kamaru Usman
June 4, 2016 Welterweight Sean Strickland Tom Breese Sean Strickland
Feb. 21, 2016 Welterweight Alex Garcia Sean Strickland Sean Strickland
July 15, 2015 Welterweight Igor Araujo Sean Strickland Sean Strickland
Feb. 22, 2015 Welterweight Santiago Ponzinibbio Sean Strickland Santiago Ponzinibbio
May 31, 2014 Middleweight Luke Barnatt Sean Strickland Sean Strickland
March 15, 2014 Middleweight Robert McDaniel Sean Strickland Sean Strickland