Rodolfo Vieira vs. Armen Petrosyan - UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Rodolfo Vieira by Submission

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: 777.00m
Weight Class: Middleweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
Fighter
WolfTicketsAI
Profit
Plain
Odds When Predicted

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

UFC Fight Analysis: Rodolfo Vieira vs Armen Petrosyan

WolfTicketsAI Predicts Rodolfo Vieira to Win

Rodolfo Vieira's Breakdown

Rodolfo Vieira, a celebrated Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu black belt, has proven his ground prowess in the Octagon. His victory over Cody Brundage by submission underlines his ability to overcome adversity and capitalize on ground scenarios. His style echoes the BJJ-focused strategies of MMA greats like Demian Maia. However, Vieira's loss to Chris Curtis highlighted his vulnerability in stand-up and cardio. Despite his relentless pursuit of takedowns, his striking defense remains a concern.

WolfTicketsAI's past predictions have been spot on with Vieira, correctly forecasting his win against Brundage and loss to Curtis. This track record suggests a reliable understanding of Vieira's capabilities and fight dynamics.

Armen Petrosyan's Breakdown

Armen Petrosyan, with a strong kickboxing background, brings a formidable striking game to the match. His unanimous decision win against Christian Leroy Duncan demonstrated his striking control and adaptability, reminiscent of fighters like Israel Adesanya. Yet, his grappling, while improved, is less dominant, as seen in his loss to Caio Borralho.

Interestingly, WolfTicketsAI's predictions have been less accurate with Petrosyan, incorrectly forecasting his outcomes against Duncan and Dobson. This inconsistency might suggest a more unpredictable nature in Petrosyan's performances or a gap in the model's assessment of his evolving style.

Analysis and Key Points

Vieira's path to victory relies on his elite grappling and submission skills. The challenge lies in countering Petrosyan's striking and maintaining cardio. Vieira's ability to weather stand-up exchanges and effectively execute takedowns will be crucial.

Petrosyan, on the other hand, must leverage his striking to keep Vieira at bay and prepare for rigorous takedown defense. His improved grappling defense will be tested against Vieira's elite ground game.

Considering WolfTicketsAI's track record, its consistent accuracy with Vieira and inconsistency with Petrosyan add an intriguing layer to this prediction. Vieira's proven comeback ability and submission threat might give him the edge, as predicted.

Conclusion

Given Vieira's ground dominance and Petrosyan's less tested grappling, the match tilts in Vieira's favor. The key for Vieira is to withstand the striking and engage in the ground game, while Petrosyan should focus on maintaining distance and employing his striking arsenal. WolfTicketsAI's prediction of a Vieira win appears well-founded, likely banking on his grappling superiority and submission potential to secure victory.

Stat Breakdown

Stat Rodolfo Vieira Armen Petrosyan
Main Stats
Age 34 33
Height 72" 75"
Reach 73" 71"
Win Percentage 81.82% 81.82%
Wins 10 9
Losses 2 3
Wins at Weight Class 4 3
Losses at Weight Class 2 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 60.05% 54.37%
Significant Striking Accuracy 54.80% 52.59%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.426 7.150
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.362 6.083
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 0.000
Striking Impact Differential -21.17% 45.50%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -13.00% 43.75%
Striking Output Differential -37.67% 67.25%
Significant Striking Output Differential -29.17% 63.25%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 109.01% 63.64%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 137.29% 68.77%
Striking Defense Percentage 48.80% 56.92%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 1.425 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 3.704 0.250
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 14.245 0.750
Takedown Defense 100.00% 180.00%
Takedown Accuracy 26.00% 33.33%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.735 2.000
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 5.432 6.650
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 3.780 1.833
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.209 1.517
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.266 1.950
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.931 0.533
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.418 2.567
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.437 2.967
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.133 0.800
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.152 0.367
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.190 0.450
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.380 0.150
Rodolfo Vieira History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
April 29, 2023 Middleweight Rodolfo Vieira Cody Brundage Rodolfo Vieira
June 25, 2022 Middleweight Chris Curtis Rodolfo Vieira Chris Curtis
July 17, 2021 Middleweight Rodolfo Vieira Dustin Stoltzfus Rodolfo Vieira
Feb. 13, 2021 Middleweight Rodolfo Vieira Anthony Hernandez Anthony Hernandez
March 7, 2020 Middleweight Rodolfo Vieira Saparbeg Safarov Rodolfo Vieira
Aug. 10, 2019 Middleweight Rodolfo Vieira Oskar Piechota Rodolfo Vieira
Armen Petrosyan History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
June 17, 2023 Middleweight Armen Petrosyan Christian Leroy Duncan Armen Petrosyan
Oct. 22, 2022 Middleweight Armen Petrosyan AJ Dobson Armen Petrosyan
July 9, 2022 Middleweight Caio Borralho Armen Petrosyan Caio Borralho
Feb. 26, 2022 Middleweight Armen Petrosyan Gregory Rodrigues Armen Petrosyan