The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
Michael Johnson, a seasoned lightweight with a mix of spectacular wins and tough losses, exhibits a fighter's spirit and resilience. His UFC tenure, peppered with highs and lows, has shaped him into a crafty veteran. Notably, Johnson's striking game, characterized by rapid hands and potent combinations, remains his standout asset. However, his grappling and ground game, while improved, continue to be areas of potential vulnerability. Johnson's record reveals a pattern of struggling against versatile fighters who can mix striking with grappling effectively.
Johnson's recent performances have been a rollercoaster. Notably, his knockout loss to Diego Ferreira demonstrates a critical vulnerability to powerful strikes, while his unanimous decision win over Marc Diakiese showcases his ability to control the pace and use his striking effectively. A split decision loss to Jamie Mullarkey and a unanimous decision loss to Clay Guida further highlight issues with consistency and dealing with pressure. His victory over Alan Patrick by knockout reaffirms his striking threat. Johnson's stats indicate a strong striking game but also reveal areas where he absorbs significant strikes, especially to the head.
WolfTicketsAI's past predictions on Johnson have been mixed, reflecting the unpredictability in his fights. The model correctly predicted his loss to Mullarkey but was off in its prediction against Diakiese. This indicates a potential risk in betting, considering the model's historical performance with Johnson's fights.
Darrius Flowers, an enigmatic figure in the lightweight division, is characterized by an unpredictable and adaptive fighting style. His approach is marked by a willingness to employ unconventional tactics, which can either disrupt opponents or expose Flowers to risks. However, detailed insights into Flowers's UFC performances are limited, and it seems there might be some uncertainty about his record and past fights in the UFC. This lack of detailed data on Flowers's UFC career makes it challenging to predict his performance with high confidence.
Flowers's stats show a strong emphasis on takedowns, with a significant number of takedowns attempted per fight, which might hint at a grappling-centric approach. However, his striking stats, particularly the high number of head strikes absorbed per minute, suggest vulnerability in the stand-up department.
Given the limited data and history of WolfTicketsAI predictions for Flowers, caution is advised in relying on the model's prediction for his performance.
This matchup is intriguing, with Johnson's experienced striking pitted against Flowers's unpredictable and potentially grappling-heavy approach. Johnson must leverage his striking precision and speed, keeping the fight standing and dictating the pace. Flowers, on the other hand, might look to exploit Johnson's less formidable ground game, using his adaptability and potential grappling skills.
The key for Johnson is to avoid Flowers's takedown attempts and maintain the fight in his comfort zone - the stand-up game. For Flowers, the strategy might involve closing the distance, engaging in clinch work, and seeking takedowns to neutralize Johnson's striking.
WolfTicketsAI predicts Darrius Flowers to win, possibly capitalizing on Johnson's recent inconsistencies and vulnerabilities, particularly in grappling exchanges. However, Johnson's striking prowess and experience should not be underestimated. This fight presents a classic striker vs. grappler dynamic, with the outcome hinging on Johnson's ability to keep the fight standing and Flowers's success in taking it to the ground. Given the unpredictability in Johnson's recent performances and the limited data on Flowers, this prediction carries a level of uncertainty and risk.
Stat | Michael Johnson | Darrius Flowers | Weight Class Average | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Main Stats | ||||
Age | 37 | 29 | 31 | |
Height | 70" | 69" | 70" | |
Reach | 73" | 71" | 72" | |
Win Percentage | 53.66% | 66.67% | 79.86% | |
Wins | 23 | 12 | ||
Losses | 19 | 7 | ||
Wins at Weight Class | 10 | 0 | ||
Losses at Weight Class | 12 | 0 | ||
Striking Stats | ||||
Striking Accuracy | 40.38% | 59.42% | 47.54% | |
Significant Striking Accuracy | 39.19% | 56.25% | 42.12% | |
Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.502 | 5.383 | 5.193 | |
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.254 | 4.727 | 3.839 | |
Knockdowns per Fight | 0.471 | 0.000 | 1.101 | |
Striking Impact Differential | -4.44% | -30.00% | 2.53% | |
Significant Striking Impact Differential | 4.00% | -24.00% | 0.99% | |
Striking Output Differential | 8.52% | -44.00% | 3.72% | |
Significant Striking Output Differential | 18.07% | -37.00% | 1.84% | |
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 123.24% | 102.44% | 84.46% | |
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 127.10% | 113.89% | 106.41% | |
Striking Defense Percentage | 58.00% | 40.59% | 47.45% | |
Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
Submissions per Fight | 0.047 | 0.000 | 0.487 | |
Takedowns per Fight | 0.424 | 1.969 | 1.485 | |
Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 1.178 | 5.908 | 3.980 | |
Takedown Defense | 23.81% | 100.00% | 81.79% | |
Takedown Accuracy | 36.00% | 33.33% | 28.98% | |
Head Stats | ||||
Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.319 | 2.757 | 2.469 | |
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 7.791 | 6.302 | 6.235 | |
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 2.746 | 5.252 | 2.245 | |
Body Stats | ||||
Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.272 | 0.788 | 0.804 | |
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 2.212 | 0.788 | 1.160 | |
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.553 | 1.838 | 0.761 | |
Leg Stats | ||||
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.663 | 1.182 | 0.566 | |
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.851 | 1.313 | 0.668 | |
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.616 | 0.788 | 0.562 | |
Clinch Stats | ||||
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.280 | 0.657 | 0.374 | |
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.440 | 0.919 | 0.527 | |
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.270 | 0.263 | 0.383 |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
May 20, 2023 | Lightweight | Diego Ferreira | Michael Johnson | Diego Ferreira | |
Dec. 3, 2022 | Lightweight | Michael Johnson | Marc Diakiese | Michael Johnson | |
July 9, 2022 | Lightweight | Michael Johnson | Jamie Mullarkey | Jamie Mullarkey | |
May 14, 2022 | Lightweight | Michael Johnson | Alan Patrick | Michael Johnson | |
Feb. 6, 2021 | Lightweight | Michael Johnson | Clay Guida | Clay Guida | |
May 13, 2020 | Lightweight | Michael Johnson | Thiago Moises | Thiago Moises | |
Oct. 26, 2019 | Lightweight | Michael Johnson | Stevie Ray | Stevie Ray | |
March 30, 2019 | Featherweight | Josh Emmett | Michael Johnson | Josh Emmett | |
Oct. 27, 2018 | Featherweight | Michael Johnson | Artem Lobov | Michael Johnson | |
Aug. 25, 2018 | Featherweight | Michael Johnson | Andre Fili | Michael Johnson | |
Jan. 14, 2018 | Featherweight | Darren Elkins | Michael Johnson | Darren Elkins | |
July 7, 2017 | Lightweight | Michael Johnson | Justin Gaethje | Justin Gaethje | |
Nov. 12, 2016 | Lightweight | Khabib Nurmagomedov | Michael Johnson | Khabib Nurmagomedov | |
Sept. 17, 2016 | Lightweight | Dustin Poirier | Michael Johnson | Michael Johnson | |
Dec. 19, 2015 | Lightweight | Michael Johnson | Nate Diaz | Nate Diaz | |
Aug. 8, 2015 | Lightweight | Michael Johnson | Beneil Dariush | Beneil Dariush | |
Feb. 22, 2015 | Lightweight | Edson Barboza | Michael Johnson | Michael Johnson | |
March 8, 2014 | Lightweight | Michael Johnson | Melvin Guillard | Michael Johnson | |
Dec. 28, 2013 | Lightweight | Gleison Tibau | Michael Johnson | Michael Johnson | |
Aug. 17, 2013 | Lightweight | Joe Lauzon | Michael Johnson | Michael Johnson | |
April 6, 2013 | Lightweight | Reza Madadi | Michael Johnson | Reza Madadi | |
Dec. 29, 2012 | Lightweight | Michael Johnson | Myles Jury | Myles Jury | |
Oct. 5, 2012 | Lightweight | Michael Johnson | Danny Castillo | Michael Johnson | |
May 5, 2012 | Lightweight | Tony Ferguson | Michael Johnson | Michael Johnson | |
Jan. 28, 2012 | Lightweight | Michael Johnson | Shane Roller | Michael Johnson | |
Oct. 1, 2011 | Lightweight | Michael Johnson | Paul Sass | Paul Sass | |
Dec. 4, 2010 | Ultimate Fighter 12 Lightweight Tournament Title | Jonathan Brookins | Michael Johnson | Jonathan Brookins |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
July 29, 2023 | Welterweight | Jake Matthews | Darrius Flowers | Jake Matthews |