Loma Lookboonmee vs. Bruna Brasil - UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Loma Lookboonmee by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: 777.00m
Weight Class: Women's Strawweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
Fighter
WolfTicketsAI
Profit
Plain
Odds When Predicted

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

UFC Fight Analysis: Loma Lookboonmee vs Bruna Brasil

WolfTicketsAI Predicts Loma Lookboonmee to Win

Loma Lookboonmee's Breakdown

Loma Lookboonmee has proven to be a formidable Muay Thai striker in the UFC. Her impressive submission victory against Elise Reed indicates her evolving ground game, adding depth to her already potent striking skills. Lookboonmee's performance is characterized by her striking accuracy, particularly her effective leg kicks and clinch work. Against Denise Gomes, she displayed adept counter-striking and dominance in the clinch, effectively neutralizing Gomes' forward pressure. However, her loss to Loopy Godinez highlighted areas for improvement in takedown defense and ground control. In her fights against Sam Hughes and Jinh Yu Frey, Lookboonmee's ability to manage distance and land significant strikes was evident. Her growing confidence in integrating grappling with striking is apparent in her consistent takedown attempts and accuracy. WolfTicketsAI's past prediction of Lookboonmee's win over Elise Reed, which proved correct, suggests an increasing reliability of the model with more observations.

Bruna Brasil's Breakdown

Bruna Brasil, while newer to the UFC, has shown both potential and weaknesses. Her unanimous decision victory over Shauna Bannon demonstrated her ability to control the fight's pace. However, her TKO loss to Denise Gomes raises concerns about her strike defense, especially against powerful strikers. Brasil's striking accuracy is commendable, but her strike defense, as indicated in her significant striking defense statistics, needs attention. Her takedown skills are decent, but she will need to be wary of Lookboonmee's striking versatility and clinch game.

Analysis and Key Points

  • Striking and Clinch Game: Lookboonmee's expertise in Muay Thai gives her a distinct advantage in striking and clinch situations.
  • Ground Game and Takedown Defense: Lookboonmee's improvements on the ground could be a factor, although Brasil might explore this as a potential weakness.
  • Fight Stamina: Both fighters can maintain a solid pace, but Lookboonmee's experience in longer bouts may give her an upper hand in endurance.
  • Brasil's Response to Loss: Brasil's performance post her recent TKO loss could be pivotal in this fight.

Conclusion

Loma Lookboonmee's superior striking, clinch skills, and evolving ground game position her favorably against Bruna Brasil. Brasil's recent TKO loss suggests a vulnerability that Lookboonmee could exploit with her striking prowess. While Brasil's ground game could pose a challenge, Lookboonmee's overall experience and striking versatility give her a significant edge. WolfTicketsAI's confidence in Lookboonmee's victory is supported by her comprehensive skill set and recent improvements. The model's accuracy in predicting Lookboonmee's past performances, particularly against Elise Reed, adds credibility to this prediction. However, the limited data on Brasil's UFC performance introduces some uncertainty in the prediction's reliability.

Stat Breakdown

Stat Loma Lookboonmee Bruna Brasil
Main Stats
Age 28 30
Height 61" 66"
Reach 61" 65"
Win Percentage 72.73% 75.00%
Wins 9 9
Losses 3 4
Wins at Weight Class 5 1
Losses at Weight Class 2 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 62.60% 72.05%
Significant Striking Accuracy 58.67% 63.39%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.787 5.110
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.137 3.128
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 0.000
Striking Impact Differential 17.14% -51.00%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 21.29% -18.50%
Striking Output Differential 18.00% -97.50%
Significant Striking Output Differential 21.43% -62.50%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 58.66% 118.97%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 70.20% 181.69%
Striking Defense Percentage 52.95% 54.43%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.157 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 2.037 1.322
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 4.074 2.643
Takedown Defense 34.78% 150.00%
Takedown Accuracy 50.00% 50.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 1.556 1.630
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 3.583 3.040
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.797 2.203
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.859 0.881
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 2.622 1.189
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.595 1.189
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.721 0.617
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.846 0.705
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.188 1.366
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 1.734 0.793
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 2.121 0.881
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.909 0.573
Loma Lookboonmee History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Feb. 11, 2023 Women's Strawweight Loma Lookboonmee Elise Reed Loma Lookboonmee
Sept. 17, 2022 Women's Strawweight Denise Gomes Loma Lookboonmee Loma Lookboonmee
Nov. 20, 2021 Women's Strawweight Loma Lookboonmee Loopy Godinez Loopy Godinez
May 1, 2021 Women's Strawweight Loma Lookboonmee Sam Hughes Loma Lookboonmee
Oct. 3, 2020 Women's Strawweight Loma Lookboonmee Jinh Yu Frey Loma Lookboonmee
Feb. 22, 2020 Women's Strawweight Loma Lookboonmee Angela Hill Angela Hill
Oct. 26, 2019 Women's Strawweight Loma Lookboonmee Aleksandra Albu Loma Lookboonmee
Bruna Brasil History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
July 22, 2023 Women's Strawweight Shauna Bannon Bruna Brasil Bruna Brasil
April 15, 2023 Women's Strawweight Bruna Brasil Denise Gomes Denise Gomes