Daniel Marcos vs. Aoriqileng - UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: None by Could Not Continue

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: 777.00m
Weight Class: Bantamweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
Fighter
WolfTicketsAI
Profit
Plain
Odds When Predicted

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

UFC Fight Analysis: Daniel Marcos vs Aoriqileng

WolfTicketsAI Predicts Daniel Marcos to Win

Daniel Marcos's Breakdown

Daniel Marcos, undefeated with a remarkable 15-0 record, showcases a versatile skill set. His most recent triumphs, a split decision win over Davey Grant and a KO/TKO victory against Saimon Oliveira, highlight his adaptability and resilience. The split decision win against Grant underlines his ability to navigate through challenging, closely contested matches, demonstrating both his striking and grappling abilities. His KO/TKO win over Oliveira, on the other hand, speaks volumes about his striking power. Marcos' stats further reinforce his capabilities, with a noteworthy knockdowns per fight rate of 0.6726 and a solid striking defense percentage of 0.6701. His takedown accuracy stands at 50%, indicating a balanced approach between striking and grappling. The WolfTickets prediction history reflects his consistent performance, correctly predicting his win against Grant.

Aoriqileng's Breakdown

Aoriqileng, known as "The Mongolian Murderer," holds a more experienced but mixed record of 25 wins and 10 losses. His recent unanimous decision victory over Johnny Munoz showed his endurance and striking skills. However, his loss to Aiemann Zahabi by KO/TKO raises concerns, especially considering the recent nature of this defeat. This loss could indicate a vulnerability in Aoriqileng's defense against precise strikers. His stats show a high strikes landed per minute rate of 7.5 but a concerning head strikes absorbed per minute rate of 4.4468. His takedown accuracy of 46.67% and a takedown defense ratio of 70.59% suggest a focus on stand-up fighting, but with room for improvement in grappling. WolfTicketsAI has a solid prediction history with Aoriqileng, correctly predicting his wins and loss in recent fights.

Analysis and Key Points

  • Marcos' undefeated record and recent performances suggest a well-rounded skill set with effective striking and grappling.
  • Aoriqileng's aggressive style and high output can be a double-edged sword, potentially leaving him open to counterattacks.
  • Marcos' striking defense and takedown accuracy could be key in countering Aoriqileng's aggressive approach.
  • Aoriqileng's recent KO/TKO loss indicates a potential vulnerability to precise strikers like Marcos.

Conclusion

Daniel Marcos, with his balanced attack and solid defense, seems well-equipped to handle Aoriqileng's aggression and volume. Aoriqileng's recent knockout loss and higher rate of strikes absorbed per minute could be exploited by Marcos' precise striking. Given Marcos' undefeated record and his ability to adapt his fighting style, the prediction of his victory seems well-founded. However, Aoriqileng's experience and high work rate should not be underestimated, making this an intriguing matchup.

Stat Breakdown

Stat Daniel Marcos Aoriqileng
Main Stats
Age 30 30
Height 67" 67"
Reach 69" 69"
Win Percentage 100.00% 71.43%
Wins 15 25
Losses 0 11
Wins at Weight Class 2 3
Losses at Weight Class 0 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 48.00% 56.89%
Significant Striking Accuracy 46.33% 50.82%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.843 7.500
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.529 5.308
Knockdowns per Fight 0.673 0.470
Striking Impact Differential 6.50% 6.67%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 4.00% -2.67%
Striking Output Differential -31.50% 4.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential -33.50% -7.50%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 178.70% 79.12%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 190.10% 105.31%
Striking Defense Percentage 67.37% 50.14%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 0.673 1.644
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 1.345 3.523
Takedown Defense 100.00% 70.59%
Takedown Accuracy 50.00% 46.67%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.332 3.507
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 6.368 8.346
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.076 4.447
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.166 1.206
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 2.108 1.441
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.345 0.736
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 1.031 0.595
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 1.300 0.658
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 1.749 0.376
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.762 0.329
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.897 0.517
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.135 0.438
Daniel Marcos History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
July 22, 2023 Bantamweight Davey Grant Daniel Marcos Daniel Marcos
Jan. 21, 2023 Bantamweight Saimon Oliveira Daniel Marcos Daniel Marcos
Aoriqileng History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Oct. 7, 2023 Bantamweight Aoriqileng Johnny Munoz Aoriqileng
June 10, 2023 Bantamweight Aiemann Zahabi Aoriqileng Aiemann Zahabi
Aug. 20, 2022 Bantamweight Aoriqileng Jay Perrin Aoriqileng
April 23, 2022 Bantamweight Aoriqileng Cameron Else Aoriqileng
Nov. 20, 2021 Flyweight Cody Durden Aoriqileng Cody Durden
April 24, 2021 Flyweight Aoriqileng Jeff Molina Jeff Molina