Dan Ige vs. Andre Fili - UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Dan Ige by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: 777.00m
Weight Class: Featherweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
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WolfTicketsAI
Profit
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Odds When Predicted

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

UFC Fight Analysis: Dan Ige vs Andre Fili

WolfTicketsAI Predicts Dan Ige to Win

Dan Ige's Breakdown

Dan Ige, a featherweight powerhouse, is known for his aggressive stand-up game and resilience in the cage. Ige's record reflects a fighter who doesn't shy away from a brawl, evident in his recent fights. He's shown an ability to absorb significant strikes, evident against fighters like Bryce Mitchell and Movsar Evloev. His fight with Mitchell showcased Ige's tenacity and stand-up skills, managing to hold his own despite losing by decision. Against Damon Jackson, his knockout power was on full display, highlighting his capability to end fights abruptly.

Ige's striking arsenal, particularly his right hand and leg kicks, is a significant threat. His capacity to land heavy shots and maintain pressure makes him a formidable opponent. His takedown defense and ability to regain control, even when taken down, add to his versatility in the Octagon. However, his susceptibility to high strike volumes and grappling control, as seen in his bouts with Josh Emmett and Movsar Evloev, could be areas of concern.

Andre Fili's Breakdown

Andre Fili, a seasoned striker, comes with a diverse skill set. His recent knockout win against Lucas Almeida speaks volumes about his power. Fili's adaptability and experience in the cage allow him to switch strategies effectively, a trait evident in his fights. His fight with Nathaniel Wood, though a loss, displayed his ability to read and counter effectively. Fili's ability to switch stances and use his reach to maintain distance gives him an edge in striking exchanges.

However, Fili's inconsistency is a notable factor. While he can deliver stunning performances, his tendency to alternate between wins and losses raises questions about his ability to maintain momentum. His defense, especially against high-output strikers, is an aspect that might be exploited. His fight against Bryce Mitchell exposed some gaps in his grappling defense, which could be a critical factor in this matchup.

Analysis and Key Points

This fight is a classic striker showdown with Ige's power and resilience going up against Fili's adaptability and reach. Both fighters have shown vulnerabilities in their defense, particularly against high-volume strikers and control-oriented grapplers. Ige's ability to absorb damage and still press forward will be crucial, as will Fili's capacity to adapt and potentially exploit Ige's defensive gaps.

The key to victory for Ige lies in utilizing his power strikes and avoiding prolonged grappling exchanges where Fili could take advantage. For Fili, maintaining distance with his jab and capitalizing on any defensive lapses of Ige will be vital.

Conclusion

In conclusion, Dan Ige's aggressive striking and ability to endure significant damage position him favorably in this matchup. Andre Fili's versatility and striking are formidable, but Ige's sheer power and resilience are likely to prevail. Expect a high-energy fight with both fighters having their moments, but Ige's power could be the deciding factor.

WolfTicketsAI, with its history of accurate predictions for both fighters, leans towards a Dan Ige victory, potentially by a decisive finish or a hard-fought decision.

Stat Breakdown

Stat Dan Ige Andre Fili
Main Stats
Age 32 33
Height 67" 71"
Reach 71" 74"
Win Percentage 70.83% 69.70%
Wins 18 23
Losses 7 11
Wins at Weight Class 9 11
Losses at Weight Class 6 10
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 49.97% 41.85%
Significant Striking Accuracy 45.49% 37.60%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.687 4.705
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.742 3.857
Knockdowns per Fight 0.381 0.398
Striking Impact Differential -2.53% -9.48%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 1.00% -2.76%
Striking Output Differential -7.40% 12.10%
Significant Striking Output Differential -4.13% 19.10%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 108.03% 96.43%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 130.30% 113.40%
Striking Defense Percentage 57.08% 51.54%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.076 0.265
Takedowns per Fight 0.839 2.187
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 3.813 4.573
Takedown Defense 66.67% 44.68%
Takedown Accuracy 22.00% 47.83%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.440 2.784
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 6.497 8.761
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.664 2.298
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.869 0.557
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.215 0.848
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.661 0.751
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.432 0.517
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.514 0.650
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.341 1.065
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.295 0.190
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.447 0.345
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.320 0.164
Dan Ige History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Sept. 23, 2023 Featherweight Bryce Mitchell Dan Ige Bryce Mitchell
June 10, 2023 Featherweight Dan Ige Nate Landwehr Dan Ige
Jan. 14, 2023 Featherweight Dan Ige Damon Jackson Dan Ige
June 4, 2022 Featherweight Dan Ige Movsar Evloev Movsar Evloev
Dec. 11, 2021 Featherweight Josh Emmett Dan Ige Josh Emmett
June 19, 2021 Featherweight Chan Sung Jung Dan Ige Chan Sung Jung
March 13, 2021 Featherweight Dan Ige Gavin Tucker Dan Ige
July 15, 2020 Featherweight Calvin Kattar Dan Ige Calvin Kattar
May 16, 2020 Featherweight Dan Ige Edson Barboza Dan Ige
Feb. 8, 2020 Featherweight Mirsad Bektic Dan Ige Dan Ige
June 22, 2019 Featherweight Dan Ige Kevin Aguilar Dan Ige
March 16, 2019 Featherweight Danny Henry Dan Ige Dan Ige
Dec. 15, 2018 Featherweight Dan Ige Jordan Griffin Dan Ige
June 9, 2018 Featherweight Mike Santiago Dan Ige Dan Ige
Jan. 20, 2018 Featherweight Dan Ige Julio Arce Julio Arce
Andre Fili History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Dec. 16, 2023 Featherweight Andre Fili Lucas Almeida Andre Fili
July 22, 2023 Featherweight Nathaniel Wood Andre Fili Nathaniel Wood
Sept. 17, 2022 Featherweight Andre Fili Bill Algeo Andre Fili
April 30, 2022 Featherweight Andre Fili Joanderson Brito Joanderson Brito
June 26, 2021 Featherweight Andre Fili Daniel Pineda None
Oct. 31, 2020 Featherweight Bryce Mitchell Andre Fili Bryce Mitchell
June 13, 2020 Featherweight Andre Fili Charles Jourdain Andre Fili
Jan. 18, 2020 Featherweight Andre Fili Sodiq Yusuff Sodiq Yusuff
July 13, 2019 Featherweight Andre Fili Sheymon Moraes Andre Fili
Feb. 17, 2019 Featherweight Andre Fili Myles Jury Andre Fili
Aug. 25, 2018 Featherweight Michael Johnson Andre Fili Michael Johnson
Jan. 27, 2018 Featherweight Dennis Bermudez Andre Fili Andre Fili
Oct. 21, 2017 Featherweight Artem Lobov Andre Fili Andre Fili
July 29, 2017 Featherweight Andre Fili Calvin Kattar Calvin Kattar
Oct. 1, 2016 Featherweight Hacran Dias Andre Fili Andre Fili
April 23, 2016 Featherweight Yair Rodriguez Andre Fili Yair Rodriguez
Nov. 21, 2015 Featherweight Gabriel Benitez Andre Fili Andre Fili
March 21, 2015 Featherweight Godofredo Pepey Andre Fili Godofredo Pepey
Oct. 25, 2014 Featherweight Felipe Arantes Andre Fili Andre Fili
April 26, 2014 Featherweight Max Holloway Andre Fili Max Holloway
Oct. 19, 2013 Featherweight Jeremy Larsen Andre Fili Andre Fili