| WTAI Model | Profit Model | Plain Model | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Under | Full | Main | Under | Full | Main | Under | Full |
| 60.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | 100.0% | 40.0% | 70.0% | 80.0% | 60.0% | 70.0% |
| WTAI Model | ||
|---|---|---|
| Main | Under | Full |
| 60.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% |
| Profit Model | ||
|---|---|---|
| Main | Under | Full |
| 100.0% | 40.0% | 70.0% |
| Plain Model | ||
|---|---|---|
| Main | Under | Full |
| 80.0% | 60.0% | 70.0% |
No parlays selected for this event.
The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Jack Hermansson, known as "The Joker", brings a mix of agility and a kick-heavy approach to the octagon. He's shown a penchant for using kicks to manage distance and disrupt opponents, as seen in his fights against Chris Curtis and Roman Dolidze. However, a key vulnerability is his recent KO/TKO losses, notably to Dolidze and Jared Cannonier. This trend suggests a susceptibility to powerful strikers, a crucial factor in predicting outcomes.
Hermansson's ground game, highlighted by his win against Kelvin Gastelum via submission, is formidable. Yet, his takedown defense ratio is relatively low, which could be exploited by a strong wrestler. His striking defense, while decent, has been penetrated by accurate strikers like Sean Strickland and Cannonier, pointing to potential issues against fighters with precise striking.
WolfTicketsAI's history with Hermansson predictions shows mixed accuracy, which adds a layer of uncertainty. The model's failed prediction in his fight against Dolidze, where Hermansson was knocked out, aligns with his recent vulnerability to such finishes.
Joe Pyfer, "Bodybagz", is relatively new to the UFC but has already shown promising talent. His victories against Abdul Razak Alhassan and Gerald Meerschaert demonstrate a well-rounded skill set, blending striking with effective grappling. Pyfer's ability to integrate wrestling with striking, as seen in the Alhassan fight, could be pivotal against Hermansson.
Pyfer's takedown accuracy and defense are impressive, which could negate Hermansson's ground advantage. His striking, particularly the powerful combinations that finished Meerschaert, poses a threat to Hermansson, who has shown vulnerabilities to such attacks.
WolfTicketsAI has a solid track record with Pyfer, accurately predicting his victories. This consistency adds credibility to the model's current prediction.
Considering the fighters' respective strengths and vulnerabilities, Joe Pyfer's balanced skill set, especially his striking and wrestling, positions him favorably against Jack Hermansson. Hermansson's recent KO/TKO losses and lower takedown defense ratio could be decisive factors. WolfTicketsAI's consistent prediction accuracy with Pyfer further supports the likelihood of his victory in this matchup.
Dan Ige, a featherweight powerhouse, is known for his aggressive stand-up game and resilience in the cage. Ige's record reflects a fighter who doesn't shy away from a brawl, evident in his recent fights. He's shown an ability to absorb significant strikes, evident against fighters like Bryce Mitchell and Movsar Evloev. His fight with Mitchell showcased Ige's tenacity and stand-up skills, managing to hold his own despite losing by decision. Against Damon Jackson, his knockout power was on full display, highlighting his capability to end fights abruptly.
Ige's striking arsenal, particularly his right hand and leg kicks, is a significant threat. His capacity to land heavy shots and maintain pressure makes him a formidable opponent. His takedown defense and ability to regain control, even when taken down, add to his versatility in the Octagon. However, his susceptibility to high strike volumes and grappling control, as seen in his bouts with Josh Emmett and Movsar Evloev, could be areas of concern.
Andre Fili, a seasoned striker, comes with a diverse skill set. His recent knockout win against Lucas Almeida speaks volumes about his power. Fili's adaptability and experience in the cage allow him to switch strategies effectively, a trait evident in his fights. His fight with Nathaniel Wood, though a loss, displayed his ability to read and counter effectively. Fili's ability to switch stances and use his reach to maintain distance gives him an edge in striking exchanges.
However, Fili's inconsistency is a notable factor. While he can deliver stunning performances, his tendency to alternate between wins and losses raises questions about his ability to maintain momentum. His defense, especially against high-output strikers, is an aspect that might be exploited. His fight against Bryce Mitchell exposed some gaps in his grappling defense, which could be a critical factor in this matchup.
This fight is a classic striker showdown with Ige's power and resilience going up against Fili's adaptability and reach. Both fighters have shown vulnerabilities in their defense, particularly against high-volume strikers and control-oriented grapplers. Ige's ability to absorb damage and still press forward will be crucial, as will Fili's capacity to adapt and potentially exploit Ige's defensive gaps.
The key to victory for Ige lies in utilizing his power strikes and avoiding prolonged grappling exchanges where Fili could take advantage. For Fili, maintaining distance with his jab and capitalizing on any defensive lapses of Ige will be vital.
In conclusion, Dan Ige's aggressive striking and ability to endure significant damage position him favorably in this matchup. Andre Fili's versatility and striking are formidable, but Ige's sheer power and resilience are likely to prevail. Expect a high-energy fight with both fighters having their moments, but Ige's power could be the deciding factor.
WolfTicketsAI, with its history of accurate predictions for both fighters, leans towards a Dan Ige victory, potentially by a decisive finish or a hard-fought decision.
Brad Tavares, with a UFC history marked by resilience and technical striking, faces a crucial fight. Notably, Tavares has shown an ability to go the distance in fights, often engaging in tactical stand-up battles. His takedown defense is exemplary, a key factor in maintaining his preferred fighting style. However, Tavares's recent record reveals some concerns. With only one win in his last three bouts and a concerning knockout loss to Bruno Silva, there's an evident vulnerability. This point is crucial, especially when facing a finisher like Rodrigues.
In previous predictions by WolfTicketsAI, Tavares was correctly predicted to win against Weidman, but the loss to Du Plessis was also accurately foreseen.
Gregory Rodrigues, known for his finishing ability, contrasts starkly with Tavares. A well-rounded fighter with a strong grappling background and improving striking, Rodrigues has shown he can end fights decisively. His adaptability is a significant strength; he's comfortable both on the feet and on the ground. However, his loss to Brunno Ferreira by knockout is a reminder of his susceptibility in striking exchanges.
WolfTicketsAI's track record with Rodrigues shows a mix of accurate and inaccurate predictions. The model correctly predicted his victory over Denis Tiuliulin but failed to foresee his loss to Chidi Njokuani. These predictions reflect the unpredictability and risk in Rodrigues's fighting style.
This matchup is a classic test of contrasting styles – Tavares's striking and defense against Rodrigues's aggressive grappling and finishing ability. Tavares will likely aim to control the fight standing, using his striking to keep Rodrigues at bay. Rodrigues, conversely, will look to pressure Tavares, seeking opportunities to take the fight to the ground.
Considering Tavares’s vulnerability to finishes and Rodrigues's ability to end fights, along with the mixed accuracy of WolfTicketsAI's past predictions for both fighters, Rodrigues is favored to win. However, the unpredictability in Rodrigues's past performances, as reflected in the predictions, adds an element of risk to this outcome.
Gregory Rodrigues is predicted to triumph over Brad Tavares, utilizing his aggressive and versatile approach. Rodrigues's ability to adapt and capitalize on openings, coupled with Tavares's recent trend of vulnerabilities, tilts the prediction in his favor. The fight is expected to be a dynamic clash of strategies, with Rodrigues likely seeking a decisive finish.
Michael Johnson, a seasoned lightweight with a mix of spectacular wins and tough losses, exhibits a fighter's spirit and resilience. His UFC tenure, peppered with highs and lows, has shaped him into a crafty veteran. Notably, Johnson's striking game, characterized by rapid hands and potent combinations, remains his standout asset. However, his grappling and ground game, while improved, continue to be areas of potential vulnerability. Johnson's record reveals a pattern of struggling against versatile fighters who can mix striking with grappling effectively.
Johnson's recent performances have been a rollercoaster. Notably, his knockout loss to Diego Ferreira demonstrates a critical vulnerability to powerful strikes, while his unanimous decision win over Marc Diakiese showcases his ability to control the pace and use his striking effectively. A split decision loss to Jamie Mullarkey and a unanimous decision loss to Clay Guida further highlight issues with consistency and dealing with pressure. His victory over Alan Patrick by knockout reaffirms his striking threat. Johnson's stats indicate a strong striking game but also reveal areas where he absorbs significant strikes, especially to the head.
WolfTicketsAI's past predictions on Johnson have been mixed, reflecting the unpredictability in his fights. The model correctly predicted his loss to Mullarkey but was off in its prediction against Diakiese. This indicates a potential risk in betting, considering the model's historical performance with Johnson's fights.
Darrius Flowers, an enigmatic figure in the lightweight division, is characterized by an unpredictable and adaptive fighting style. His approach is marked by a willingness to employ unconventional tactics, which can either disrupt opponents or expose Flowers to risks. However, detailed insights into Flowers's UFC performances are limited, and it seems there might be some uncertainty about his record and past fights in the UFC. This lack of detailed data on Flowers's UFC career makes it challenging to predict his performance with high confidence.
Flowers's stats show a strong emphasis on takedowns, with a significant number of takedowns attempted per fight, which might hint at a grappling-centric approach. However, his striking stats, particularly the high number of head strikes absorbed per minute, suggest vulnerability in the stand-up department.
Given the limited data and history of WolfTicketsAI predictions for Flowers, caution is advised in relying on the model's prediction for his performance.
This matchup is intriguing, with Johnson's experienced striking pitted against Flowers's unpredictable and potentially grappling-heavy approach. Johnson must leverage his striking precision and speed, keeping the fight standing and dictating the pace. Flowers, on the other hand, might look to exploit Johnson's less formidable ground game, using his adaptability and potential grappling skills.
The key for Johnson is to avoid Flowers's takedown attempts and maintain the fight in his comfort zone - the stand-up game. For Flowers, the strategy might involve closing the distance, engaging in clinch work, and seeking takedowns to neutralize Johnson's striking.
WolfTicketsAI predicts Darrius Flowers to win, possibly capitalizing on Johnson's recent inconsistencies and vulnerabilities, particularly in grappling exchanges. However, Johnson's striking prowess and experience should not be underestimated. This fight presents a classic striker vs. grappler dynamic, with the outcome hinging on Johnson's ability to keep the fight standing and Flowers's success in taking it to the ground. Given the unpredictability in Johnson's recent performances and the limited data on Flowers, this prediction carries a level of uncertainty and risk.
Rodolfo Vieira, a celebrated Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu black belt, has proven his ground prowess in the Octagon. His victory over Cody Brundage by submission underlines his ability to overcome adversity and capitalize on ground scenarios. His style echoes the BJJ-focused strategies of MMA greats like Demian Maia. However, Vieira's loss to Chris Curtis highlighted his vulnerability in stand-up and cardio. Despite his relentless pursuit of takedowns, his striking defense remains a concern.
WolfTicketsAI's past predictions have been spot on with Vieira, correctly forecasting his win against Brundage and loss to Curtis. This track record suggests a reliable understanding of Vieira's capabilities and fight dynamics.
Armen Petrosyan, with a strong kickboxing background, brings a formidable striking game to the match. His unanimous decision win against Christian Leroy Duncan demonstrated his striking control and adaptability, reminiscent of fighters like Israel Adesanya. Yet, his grappling, while improved, is less dominant, as seen in his loss to Caio Borralho.
Interestingly, WolfTicketsAI's predictions have been less accurate with Petrosyan, incorrectly forecasting his outcomes against Duncan and Dobson. This inconsistency might suggest a more unpredictable nature in Petrosyan's performances or a gap in the model's assessment of his evolving style.
Vieira's path to victory relies on his elite grappling and submission skills. The challenge lies in countering Petrosyan's striking and maintaining cardio. Vieira's ability to weather stand-up exchanges and effectively execute takedowns will be crucial.
Petrosyan, on the other hand, must leverage his striking to keep Vieira at bay and prepare for rigorous takedown defense. His improved grappling defense will be tested against Vieira's elite ground game.
Considering WolfTicketsAI's track record, its consistent accuracy with Vieira and inconsistency with Petrosyan add an intriguing layer to this prediction. Vieira's proven comeback ability and submission threat might give him the edge, as predicted.
Given Vieira's ground dominance and Petrosyan's less tested grappling, the match tilts in Vieira's favor. The key for Vieira is to withstand the striking and engage in the ground game, while Petrosyan should focus on maintaining distance and employing his striking arsenal. WolfTicketsAI's prediction of a Vieira win appears well-founded, likely banking on his grappling superiority and submission potential to secure victory.
Loma Lookboonmee has proven to be a formidable Muay Thai striker in the UFC. Her impressive submission victory against Elise Reed indicates her evolving ground game, adding depth to her already potent striking skills. Lookboonmee's performance is characterized by her striking accuracy, particularly her effective leg kicks and clinch work. Against Denise Gomes, she displayed adept counter-striking and dominance in the clinch, effectively neutralizing Gomes' forward pressure. However, her loss to Loopy Godinez highlighted areas for improvement in takedown defense and ground control. In her fights against Sam Hughes and Jinh Yu Frey, Lookboonmee's ability to manage distance and land significant strikes was evident. Her growing confidence in integrating grappling with striking is apparent in her consistent takedown attempts and accuracy. WolfTicketsAI's past prediction of Lookboonmee's win over Elise Reed, which proved correct, suggests an increasing reliability of the model with more observations.
Bruna Brasil, while newer to the UFC, has shown both potential and weaknesses. Her unanimous decision victory over Shauna Bannon demonstrated her ability to control the fight's pace. However, her TKO loss to Denise Gomes raises concerns about her strike defense, especially against powerful strikers. Brasil's striking accuracy is commendable, but her strike defense, as indicated in her significant striking defense statistics, needs attention. Her takedown skills are decent, but she will need to be wary of Lookboonmee's striking versatility and clinch game.
Loma Lookboonmee's superior striking, clinch skills, and evolving ground game position her favorably against Bruna Brasil. Brasil's recent TKO loss suggests a vulnerability that Lookboonmee could exploit with her striking prowess. While Brasil's ground game could pose a challenge, Lookboonmee's overall experience and striking versatility give her a significant edge. WolfTicketsAI's confidence in Lookboonmee's victory is supported by her comprehensive skill set and recent improvements. The model's accuracy in predicting Lookboonmee's past performances, particularly against Elise Reed, adds credibility to this prediction. However, the limited data on Brasil's UFC performance introduces some uncertainty in the prediction's reliability.
Devin Clark, a formidable Light Heavyweight, presents a mixed record in the UFC. His recent performances show a fighter with a strong takedown game and a tendency to mix striking with wrestling. However, he's also shown vulnerabilities, particularly against submission artists and powerful strikers. His last bout against Kennedy Nzechukwu ended in a submission loss, signaling potential gaps in his grappling defense. Yet, his unanimous decision win over Da Woon Jung highlighted his ability to control the pace and utilize his wrestling effectively.
Clark's striking is notable for its volume, especially in head and leg strikes. His ability to land significant strikes, combined with a decent strike defense, suggests a well-rounded striking game. However, a recent KO/TKO loss to Azamat Murzakanov raises concerns about his chin against heavy hitters.
His fight against William Knight demonstrated his capability to adapt his strategy, securing a win in a heavier weight class. This adaptability, coupled with his high takedown accuracy, makes him a persistent threat in grappling exchanges.
The WolfTicketsAI model's prediction history on Clark is mixed, with accurate predictions in two out of four recent fights. This somewhat shaky history may introduce a degree of uncertainty in the model's current prediction.
Marcin Prachnio brings a karate and kickboxing background into the Octagon, favoring a striking-heavy approach. His fight against Vitor Petrino, although ending in a submission loss, showcased his ability to engage effectively at range. Prachnio's striking, particularly his leg kicks, are his greatest asset, often used to manage distance and set up combinations.
However, Prachnio's record reveals a susceptibility to powerful strikes and grappling, as seen in his losses to Mike Rodriguez and Magomed Ankalaev. His defense against takedowns and submissions seems to be an area of weakness, as highlighted in his recent fights.
Prachnio's striking stats are impressive, with a high rate of significant strikes landed per minute. Yet, his defense in striking exchanges is a concern, as indicated by his relatively high rate of significant strikes absorbed. This vulnerability could be a critical factor in the upcoming bout against Clark.
WolfTicketsAI's prediction history for Prachnio is less reliable, with an incorrect prediction in his last bout against William Knight. This adds an element of unpredictability to the model's current forecast.
The upcoming fight between Clark and Prachnio presents a classic striker vs. wrestler matchup. Clark's wrestling and takedown abilities contrast sharply with Prachnio's striking-focused approach. Clark's strategy will likely involve closing the distance, utilizing his wrestling to neutralize Prachnio's striking and controlling the fight on the ground. Prachnio, on the other hand, will aim to maintain distance, using his superior striking to keep Clark at bay.
Both fighters have shown vulnerabilities – Clark in his striking defense against powerful hitters and Prachnio in his grappling defense. This fight could hinge on who better exploits the other's weakness.
WolfTicketsAI predicts Devin Clark to win, likely banking on his wrestling and takedown abilities to control the fight. Prachnio's striking poses a significant threat, but if Clark can close the distance and initiate grappling exchanges, he could neutralize Prachnio's main weapons. Given both fighters' recent performances and the contrasting styles, this fight promises to be a tactical battle with Clark having a slight edge due to his wrestling prowess.
Max Griffin steps into the octagon with a comprehensive MMA skill set, highlighted by his proficient boxing and solid wrestling background. His striking style, reminiscent of fighters like Jorge Masvidal and Nate Diaz, features effective jab-cross combinations and tactical low kicks. Griffin's ability to absorb damage and his strategic pacing have been notable in his career. His performances, especially against Tim Means and Carlos Condit, exhibit an evolved fight IQ with improved shot selection and controlled aggression. Despite this, consistency has been a concern for Griffin, as seen in his split decision losses to Neil Magny and Alex Oliveira. His grappling skills, while formidable, have shown vulnerabilities against strong wrestlers or submission artists.
Model Prediction History: WolfTicketsAI's accurate predictions in Griffin's recent fights indicate a reliable understanding of his abilities and tendencies. However, the closely contested nature of his fights, particularly those ending in split decisions, introduces a degree of unpredictability.
Jeremiah Wells comes with a reputation for aggressive striking and robust grappling in the welterweight division. His knockout capability, as displayed in his fight against Court McGee, is a significant factor. Wells has also showcased his aptitude in submissions, evidenced by his win over Mike Mathetha. However, his recent submission loss to Carlston Harris points to potential weaknesses under pressure. His style of intense forward pressure and explosive takedowns might leave him open to counter-strikes, a vulnerability observed in his bout against Matthew Semelsberger.
Model Prediction History: Initially, WolfTicketsAI faced challenges in accurately predicting outcomes of Wells' fights. However, with more fights observed, the model likely has a better assessment of Wells' performance and the associated risks. The incorrect prediction against Carlston Harris and the correct one against Matthew Semelsberger highlight the model's growing accuracy in evaluating Wells' strengths and weaknesses.
Striking and Power: Wells has the edge in power and explosiveness, but Griffin's technical boxing and experience could be pivotal if he effectively maintains distance and utilizes his jab.
Grappling and Ground Game: Griffin's wrestling background will be tested against Wells' aggressive grappling. Griffin needs to effectively counter Wells' takedown attempts to dictate the fight's pace.
Fight IQ and Pacing: Griffin's strategic approach and fight IQ might be key in outmaneuvering Wells, who tends to rely on physicality and aggression.
Vulnerabilities and Risks: Griffin's inconsistency and Wells' susceptibility to submissions are crucial factors. Wells' loss by submission and Griffin's mixed results in split decisions suggest exploitable areas. The model's improved understanding of Wells' performance pattern adds a nuanced perspective to the prediction, reducing the margin of error.
This bout between Max Griffin and Jeremiah Wells is anticipated to be a compelling contest, blending Griffin's technical acumen against Wells' raw power and grappling. While Wells is favored, Griffin's tactical approach and resilience could challenge Wells' offensive onslaught. The model's evolving understanding of Wells, coupled with Griffin's seasoned tactics, adds layers of intrigue and unpredictability to this welterweight matchup.
Zac Pauga, a fighter with a solid foundation in athleticism and strength, brings a wrestling-heavy approach to the octagon. His background in rugby and football has translated into significant physical advantages. Despite these strengths, Pauga's recent performance, including a loss to Mohammed Usman by KO/TKO, raises concerns about his striking defense, particularly against power strikers.
Pauga's fight history in the UFC includes mixed results. WolfTicketsAI's predictions on his fights have been a hit-and-miss affair. The model correctly predicted his win against Jordan Wright, but incorrectly forecasted his bout against Modestas Bukauskas, where Pauga lost by unanimous decision. This history of mixed prediction outcomes introduces an element of uncertainty in forecasting Pauga's performance, especially given his recent win percentage of 0.33, indicative of a possible decline.
Bogdan Guskov, with a record of 14 wins and 3 losses, has shown a propensity for striking. His recent loss to Volkan Oezdemir by submission exposes potential weaknesses in his ground game. A high rate of head strikes absorbed per minute could be a chink in his armor.
Guskov's UFC history is less documented in terms of prediction data, which introduces a degree of uncertainty regarding the model's ability to accurately forecast his performance. His striking focus, juxtaposed with Pauga's wrestling background, sets the stage for an intriguing stylistic matchup. However, the lack of prediction history for Guskov makes this fight somewhat unpredictable from a modeling standpoint.
This matchup is a classic striker vs. wrestler confrontation. Pauga's wrestling and control on the ground could be crucial, especially if he can exploit Guskov's weaker takedown defense. However, Pauga's recent performance trends and susceptibility to strikes, as evidenced by his KO/TKO loss, present considerable risks.
Guskov should aim to keep the fight standing, leveraging his striking ability. His challenge will be to navigate Pauga's takedown attempts and avoid being controlled on the ground. The absence of substantial prediction data for Guskov and the mixed accuracy of predictions for Pauga add layers of unpredictability to the outcome.
The bout between Zac Pauga and Bogdan Guskov is poised to be a dynamic clash, highlighting Pauga's wrestling against Guskov's striking. While WolfTicketsAI predicts a win for Pauga, the limited prediction history for Guskov and mixed accuracy in Pauga's past fights injects a degree of uncertainty. Pauga's wrestling might be the key if he can neutralize Guskov's stand-up game, but his recent decline and vulnerability to powerful strikes could tilt the scales in Guskov's favor. The fight presents a compelling narrative but with an unpredictable outcome.
Daniel Marcos, undefeated with a remarkable 15-0 record, showcases a versatile skill set. His most recent triumphs, a split decision win over Davey Grant and a KO/TKO victory against Saimon Oliveira, highlight his adaptability and resilience. The split decision win against Grant underlines his ability to navigate through challenging, closely contested matches, demonstrating both his striking and grappling abilities. His KO/TKO win over Oliveira, on the other hand, speaks volumes about his striking power. Marcos' stats further reinforce his capabilities, with a noteworthy knockdowns per fight rate of 0.6726 and a solid striking defense percentage of 0.6701. His takedown accuracy stands at 50%, indicating a balanced approach between striking and grappling. The WolfTickets prediction history reflects his consistent performance, correctly predicting his win against Grant.
Aoriqileng, known as "The Mongolian Murderer," holds a more experienced but mixed record of 25 wins and 10 losses. His recent unanimous decision victory over Johnny Munoz showed his endurance and striking skills. However, his loss to Aiemann Zahabi by KO/TKO raises concerns, especially considering the recent nature of this defeat. This loss could indicate a vulnerability in Aoriqileng's defense against precise strikers. His stats show a high strikes landed per minute rate of 7.5 but a concerning head strikes absorbed per minute rate of 4.4468. His takedown accuracy of 46.67% and a takedown defense ratio of 70.59% suggest a focus on stand-up fighting, but with room for improvement in grappling. WolfTicketsAI has a solid prediction history with Aoriqileng, correctly predicting his wins and loss in recent fights.
Daniel Marcos, with his balanced attack and solid defense, seems well-equipped to handle Aoriqileng's aggression and volume. Aoriqileng's recent knockout loss and higher rate of strikes absorbed per minute could be exploited by Marcos' precise striking. Given Marcos' undefeated record and his ability to adapt his fighting style, the prediction of his victory seems well-founded. However, Aoriqileng's experience and high work rate should not be underestimated, making this an intriguing matchup.