Edgar Chairez vs. Daniel Lacerda - UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: None by Overturned

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: 627.00m
Weight Class: Flyweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Edgar Chairez
26
19
10
10.9
-215
Daniel Lacerda
+175

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

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Stat Breakdown

Stat Edgar Chairez Daniel Lacerda
Main Stats
Age 27 27
Height 67" 66"
Reach 71" 70"
Win Percentage 66.67% 68.75%
Wins 10 11
Losses 5 5
Wins at Weight Class 0 0
Losses at Weight Class 0 4
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 66.67% 53.02%
Significant Striking Accuracy 65.79% 48.70%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 1.733 5.762
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 1.667 4.752
Knockdowns per Fight 1.000 2.275
Striking Impact Differential -95.00% -47.25%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -36.00% -24.75%
Striking Output Differential -109.00% -52.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential -40.00% -25.25%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 103.85% 105.26%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 68.00% 107.45%
Striking Defense Percentage 21.79% 34.35%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 2.000 1.516
Takedowns per Fight 0.000 1.516
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 0.000 3.791
Takedown Defense 200.00% 100.00%
Takedown Accuracy 0.00% 40.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 1.000 2.730
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.533 7.279
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.667 7.279
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.333 1.112
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.400 1.516
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.133 1.618
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.333 0.910
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.600 0.960
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 1.267 0.859
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.000 0.303
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.000 0.708
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.000 0.101
Edgar Chairez History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
July 8, 2023 Catch Weight Tatsuro Taira Edgar Chairez Tatsuro Taira
Daniel Lacerda History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
March 25, 2023 Flyweight CJ Vergara Daniel Lacerda CJ Vergara
Aug. 20, 2022 Flyweight Daniel Lacerda Victor Altamirano Victor Altamirano
April 30, 2022 Flyweight Daniel Lacerda Francisco Figueiredo Francisco Figueiredo
Oct. 23, 2021 Flyweight Jeff Molina Daniel Lacerda Jeff Molina