Raphael Assuncao vs. Victor Henry - UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Raphael Assuncao by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Bantamweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Raphael Assuncao
+300
Victor Henry
30
12
-2.8
-455

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Raphael Assuncao Victor Henry
Main Stats
Age 40 35
Height 65" 67"
Reach 66" 68"
Win Percentage 75.00% 81.48%
Wins 28 22
Losses 9 5
Wins at Weight Class 11 1
Losses at Weight Class 5 0
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 46.17% 55.92%
Significant Striking Accuracy 41.45% 51.42%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.246 14.800
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.470 12.067
Knockdowns per Fight 0.152 0.000
Striking Impact Differential 15.00% 88.00%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 10.53% 47.00%
Striking Output Differential 8.76% 120.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential 4.59% 75.00%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 129.27% 64.41%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 155.99% 79.01%
Striking Defense Percentage 67.88% 51.62%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.152 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 1.294 0.000
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 3.424 1.000
Takedown Defense 27.59% 16.67%
Takedown Accuracy 37.78% 0.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 1.836 6.800
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 6.082 16.800
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.131 7.133
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.558 4.267
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.898 5.533
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.599 0.667
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 1.075 1.000
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 1.390 1.133
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.832 1.133
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.315 1.200
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.487 1.800
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.107 0.533
Raphael Assuncao History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Dec. 18, 2021 Bantamweight Raphael Assuncao Ricky Simon Ricky Simon
June 6, 2020 Bantamweight Raphael Assuncao Cody Garbrandt Cody Garbrandt
Aug. 17, 2019 Bantamweight Raphael Assuncao Cory Sandhagen Cory Sandhagen
Feb. 2, 2019 Bantamweight Raphael Assuncao Marlon Moraes Marlon Moraes
July 7, 2018 Bantamweight Raphael Assuncao Rob Font Raphael Assuncao
Nov. 11, 2017 Bantamweight Raphael Assuncao Matthew Lopez Raphael Assuncao
June 3, 2017 Bantamweight Raphael Assuncao Marlon Moraes Raphael Assuncao
Jan. 28, 2017 Bantamweight Raphael Assuncao Aljamain Sterling Raphael Assuncao
July 9, 2016 Bantamweight TJ Dillashaw Raphael Assuncao TJ Dillashaw
Oct. 4, 2014 Bantamweight Raphael Assuncao Bryan Caraway Raphael Assuncao
Feb. 22, 2014 Bantamweight Raphael Assuncao Pedro Munhoz Raphael Assuncao
Oct. 9, 2013 Bantamweight Raphael Assuncao TJ Dillashaw Raphael Assuncao
June 8, 2013 Bantamweight Raphael Assuncao Vaughan Lee Raphael Assuncao
Dec. 8, 2012 Bantamweight Raphael Assuncao Mike Easton Raphael Assuncao
July 11, 2012 Bantamweight Raphael Assuncao Issei Tamura Raphael Assuncao
Aug. 27, 2011 Bantamweight Raphael Assuncao Johnny Eduardo Raphael Assuncao
March 19, 2011 Featherweight Erik Koch Raphael Assuncao Erik Koch
Victor Henry History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Jan. 22, 2022 Bantamweight Raoni Barcelos Victor Henry Victor Henry