John Makdessi vs. Nasrat Haqparast - UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Nasrat Haqparast by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Paris, Ile-de-France, France
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Lightweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
John Makdessi
21
+180
Nasrat Haqparast
13
0.8
-275

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat John Makdessi Nasrat Haqparast
Main Stats
Age 37 27
Height 68" 70"
Reach 68" 72"
Win Percentage 72.00% 72.22%
Wins 18 14
Losses 8 5
Wins at Weight Class 10 5
Losses at Weight Class 7 4
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 52.76% 47.69%
Significant Striking Accuracy 51.34% 45.44%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.017 5.717
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.566 5.172
Knockdowns per Fight 0.423 0.537
Striking Impact Differential 21.56% -5.78%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 18.22% 5.89%
Striking Output Differential -23.17% -43.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential -27.56% -30.22%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 152.42% 162.13%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 164.36% 176.30%
Striking Defense Percentage 69.45% 66.00%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 0.000 0.134
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 0.212 0.940
Takedown Defense 12.20% 26.92%
Takedown Accuracy 0.00% 14.29%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.891 3.883
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 6.892 9.636
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.318 3.176
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.340 1.029
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 2.261 1.387
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.809 1.011
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 1.335 0.260
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 1.688 0.358
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.898 0.510
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.296 0.286
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.536 0.403
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.174 0.206
John Makdessi History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
April 10, 2021 Lightweight John Makdessi Ignacio Bahamondes John Makdessi
March 14, 2020 Lightweight Francisco Trinaldo John Makdessi Francisco Trinaldo
March 23, 2019 Lightweight John Makdessi Jesus Pinedo John Makdessi
July 28, 2018 Lightweight John Makdessi Ross Pearson John Makdessi
Dec. 16, 2017 Lightweight John Makdessi Abel Trujillo John Makdessi
Dec. 10, 2016 Lightweight John Makdessi Lando Vannata Lando Vannata
July 7, 2016 Lightweight John Makdessi Mehdi Baghdad John Makdessi
Dec. 12, 2015 Lightweight John Makdessi Yancy Medeiros Yancy Medeiros
May 23, 2015 Lightweight Donald Cerrone John Makdessi Donald Cerrone
April 25, 2015 Catch Weight John Makdessi Shane Campbell John Makdessi
Feb. 1, 2014 Lightweight John Makdessi Alan Patrick Alan Patrick
Sept. 21, 2013 Lightweight John Makdessi Renee Forte John Makdessi
March 16, 2013 Lightweight John Makdessi Daron Cruickshank John Makdessi
Nov. 17, 2012 Lightweight Sam Stout John Makdessi John Makdessi
April 21, 2012 Lightweight John Makdessi Anthony Njokuani Anthony Njokuani
Dec. 10, 2011 Lightweight John Makdessi Dennis Hallman Dennis Hallman
April 30, 2011 Lightweight John Makdessi Kyle Watson John Makdessi
Dec. 11, 2010 Lightweight Pat Audinwood John Makdessi John Makdessi
Nasrat Haqparast History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Feb. 12, 2022 Lightweight King Green Nasrat Haqparast King Green
Sept. 25, 2021 Lightweight Dan Hooker Nasrat Haqparast Dan Hooker
March 13, 2021 Lightweight Nasrat Haqparast Rafa Garcia Nasrat Haqparast
Aug. 8, 2020 Lightweight Nasrat Haqparast Alexander Munoz Nasrat Haqparast
Jan. 18, 2020 Lightweight Drew Dober Nasrat Haqparast Drew Dober
Aug. 3, 2019 Lightweight Joaquim Silva Nasrat Haqparast Nasrat Haqparast
Oct. 27, 2018 Lightweight Thibault Gouti Nasrat Haqparast Nasrat Haqparast
July 22, 2018 Lightweight Nasrat Haqparast Marc Diakiese Nasrat Haqparast
Oct. 21, 2017 Lightweight Marcin Held Nasrat Haqparast Marcin Held