Ciryl Gane vs. Tai Tuivasa - UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Ciryl Gane by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: Paris, Ile-de-France, France
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Heavyweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Ciryl Gane
33
17
-5.7
-560
Tai Tuivasa
+375

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Ciryl Gane Tai Tuivasa
Main Stats
Age 32 29
Height 76" 74"
Reach 81" 75"
Win Percentage 90.91% 83.33%
Wins 11 15
Losses 1 4
Wins at Weight Class 6 8
Losses at Weight Class 0 3
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 61.29% 55.87%
Significant Striking Accuracy 58.75% 52.93%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.378 5.179
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.827 4.537
Knockdowns per Fight 0.230 1.466
Striking Impact Differential 45.00% 4.27%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 41.75% 6.36%
Striking Output Differential 38.00% 8.64%
Significant Striking Output Differential 35.88% 10.64%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 71.12% 66.04%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 77.65% 74.46%
Striking Defense Percentage 62.26% 48.69%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.574 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 0.689 0.000
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 3.098 0.628
Takedown Defense 80.00% 100.00%
Takedown Accuracy 22.22% 0.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.020 2.876
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 4.743 6.575
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.842 2.555
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.278 0.810
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.698 0.949
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.497 0.642
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 1.530 0.852
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 1.775 1.047
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.933 0.363
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.467 1.312
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.543 1.801
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.107 0.614
Ciryl Gane History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Jan. 22, 2022 UFC Heavyweight Title Francis Ngannou Ciryl Gane Francis Ngannou
Aug. 7, 2021 UFC Interim Heavyweight Title Derrick Lewis Ciryl Gane Ciryl Gane
June 26, 2021 Heavyweight Ciryl Gane Alexander Volkov Ciryl Gane
Feb. 27, 2021 Heavyweight Jairzinho Rozenstruik Ciryl Gane Ciryl Gane
Dec. 12, 2020 Heavyweight Junior Dos Santos Ciryl Gane Ciryl Gane
Dec. 21, 2019 Heavyweight Ciryl Gane Tanner Boser Ciryl Gane
Oct. 26, 2019 Heavyweight Ciryl Gane Don'Tale Mayes Ciryl Gane
Aug. 10, 2019 Heavyweight Ciryl Gane Raphael Pessoa Ciryl Gane
Tai Tuivasa History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Feb. 12, 2022 Heavyweight Derrick Lewis Tai Tuivasa Tai Tuivasa
Dec. 11, 2021 Heavyweight Augusto Sakai Tai Tuivasa Tai Tuivasa
July 10, 2021 Heavyweight Tai Tuivasa Greg Hardy Tai Tuivasa
March 20, 2021 Heavyweight Tai Tuivasa Harry Hunsucker Tai Tuivasa
Oct. 24, 2020 Heavyweight Stefan Struve Tai Tuivasa Tai Tuivasa
Oct. 5, 2019 Heavyweight Tai Tuivasa Serghei Spivac Serghei Spivac
June 8, 2019 Heavyweight Tai Tuivasa Blagoy Ivanov Blagoy Ivanov
Dec. 1, 2018 Heavyweight Junior Dos Santos Tai Tuivasa Junior Dos Santos
June 9, 2018 Heavyweight Andrei Arlovski Tai Tuivasa Tai Tuivasa
Feb. 10, 2018 Heavyweight Tai Tuivasa Cyril Asker Tai Tuivasa
Nov. 18, 2017 Heavyweight Rashad Coulter Tai Tuivasa Tai Tuivasa